Corneal Confocal Microscopy Predicts Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events and Demonstrates Greater Peripheral Neuropathy in Patients with Type 1 Diabetes and Foot Ulcers

Objective: In this study, we evaluate small and large nerve fibre pathology in relation to diabetic foot ulceration (DFU) and incident cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in type 1 diabetes (T1D). Methods: A prospective observational study was conducted on people with T1D without diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) (n = 25), T1D with DPN (n = 28), T1D with DFU (n = 25) and 32 healthy volunteers. ROC analysis of parameters was conducted to diagnose DPN and DFU, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive ability of corneal nerves for cardiac and cerebrovascular events over 3 years. Results: Corneal nerve fibre length (CNFL), fibre density (CNFD) and branch density (CNBD) were lower in T1D-DPN and T1D-DFU vs. T1D (all p < 0.001). In ROC analysis, CNFD (sensitivity 88%, specificity 87%; AUC 0.93; p < 0.001; optimal cut-off 7.35 no/mm(2)) and CNFL (sensitivity 76%, specificity 77%; AUC 0.90; p < 0.001; optimal cut-off 7.01 mm/mm(2)) had good ability to differentiate T1D with and without DFU. Incident cardiovascular events (p < 0.001) and cerebrovascular events (p < 0.001) were significantly higher in T1D-DPN and T1D-DFU. Corneal nerve loss, specifically CNFD predicted incident cardiovascular (HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.12 to 2.50, p = 0.01) and cerebrovascular (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.26, p = 0.02) events. Conclusions: Our study provides threshold values for corneal nerve fibre metrics for neuropathic foot at risk of DFU and further demonstrates that lower CNFD predicts incident cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in T1D.