Online prediction for respiratory movement compensation: a patient-specific gating control for MRI-guided radiotherapy

BACKGROUND: This study aims to validate the effectiveness of linear regression for motion prediction of internal organs or tumors on 2D cine-MR and to present an online gating signal prediction scheme that can improve the accuracy of MR-guided radiotherapy for liver and lung cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We collected 2D cine-MR sequences of 21 liver cancer patients and 10 lung cancer patients to develop a binary gating signal prediction algorithm that forecasts the crossing-time of tumor motion traces relative to the target threshold. Both 0.4 s and 0.6 s prediction windows were tested using three linear predictors and three recurrent neural networks (RNNs), given the system delay of 0.5 s. Furthermore, an adaptive linear regression model was evaluated using only the first 30 s as the burn-in period, during which the model parameters were adapted during the online prediction process. The accuracy of the predicted traces was measured using amplitude metrics (MAE, RMSE, and R(2)), and in addition, we proposed three temporal metrics, namely crossing error, gating error, and gating accuracy, which are more relevant to the nature of the gating signals. RESULTS: In both 0.6 s and 0.4 s prediction cases, linear regression outperformed other methods, demonstrating significantly smaller amplitude errors compared to the RNNs (P < 0.05). The proposed algorithm with adaptive linear regression had the best performance with an average gating accuracy of 98.3% and 98.0%, a gating error of 44 ms and 45 ms, for liver cancer and lung cancer patients, respectively. CONCLUSION: A functional online gating control scheme was developed with an adaptive linear regression that is both more cost-efficient and accurate than sophisticated RNN based methods in all studied metrics. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13014-023-02341-1.