A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada

The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases reached over 1.3 million in Ontario, Canada by June 4, 2022. The continued spread of the virus underlying COVID-19 has been spurred by the emergence of variants since the initial outbreak in December, 2019. Much attention has thus been devoted to tracking and m...

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Autores principales: Zhao, Yuxuan, Wong, Samuel W. K.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10497623/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37700081
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42043-y
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author Zhao, Yuxuan
Wong, Samuel W. K.
author_facet Zhao, Yuxuan
Wong, Samuel W. K.
author_sort Zhao, Yuxuan
collection PubMed
description The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases reached over 1.3 million in Ontario, Canada by June 4, 2022. The continued spread of the virus underlying COVID-19 has been spurred by the emergence of variants since the initial outbreak in December, 2019. Much attention has thus been devoted to tracking and modelling the transmission of COVID-19. Compartmental models are commonly used to mimic epidemic transmission mechanisms and are easy to understand. Their performance in real-world settings, however, needs to be more thoroughly assessed. In this comparative study, we examine five compartmental models—four existing ones and an extended model that we propose—and analyze their ability to describe COVID-19 transmission in Ontario from January 2022 to June 2022.
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spelling pubmed-104976232023-09-14 A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada Zhao, Yuxuan Wong, Samuel W. K. Sci Rep Article The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases reached over 1.3 million in Ontario, Canada by June 4, 2022. The continued spread of the virus underlying COVID-19 has been spurred by the emergence of variants since the initial outbreak in December, 2019. Much attention has thus been devoted to tracking and modelling the transmission of COVID-19. Compartmental models are commonly used to mimic epidemic transmission mechanisms and are easy to understand. Their performance in real-world settings, however, needs to be more thoroughly assessed. In this comparative study, we examine five compartmental models—four existing ones and an extended model that we propose—and analyze their ability to describe COVID-19 transmission in Ontario from January 2022 to June 2022. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-09-12 /pmc/articles/PMC10497623/ /pubmed/37700081 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42043-y Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Zhao, Yuxuan
Wong, Samuel W. K.
A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada
title A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada
title_full A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada
title_fullStr A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada
title_full_unstemmed A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada
title_short A comparative study of compartmental models for COVID-19 transmission in Ontario, Canada
title_sort comparative study of compartmental models for covid-19 transmission in ontario, canada
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10497623/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37700081
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42043-y
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