Analysis of risk factors for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in hospitalized children with obesity before the late puberty stage

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the clinical characteristics of obese pediatric non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in central China and verify the applicability of some known risk factors for pediatric NAFLD before late puberty. METHODS: This was a retrospective case–control study. A total of 1,029 inpatients at Wuhan Children’s Hospital before the late puberty stage were enrolled in the study, including 815 children with obesity (non-NAFLD group) and 214 children with obesity and NAFLD (NAFLD group) diagnosed by liver ultrasound. Subgroup analyses were performed according to sex and puberty. The anthropometric indices and laboratory test data of these 1,029 children were sorted. After intergroup comparison, a logistic regression model was used to determine the risk factors for pediatric NAFLD. Significant risk factors for NAFLD were further tested using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to evaluate their ability to predict an early diagnosis of NAFLD. RESULTS: The NAFLD group had a mean age of 11.03 ± 1.66, with 11.18 ± 1.66 and 10.27 ± 1.45 years for male and female children, respectively (p < 0.05 and p < 0.01, respectively). Even subdivided by both sex and puberty, raised body mass index (BMI), homeostatic model-insulin resistance, triglycerides, alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and gamma-glutamyl transferase (γ-GT) were still found in the non-NAFLD and NAFLD groups (p < 0.05 and p < 0.01, respectively). The results of logistic regression analysis showed that BMI (odds ratio [OR], 1.468;95% confidence interval [CI], 1.356-1.590; p<0.001) and ALT (OR, 1.073;95%CI, 1.060-1.087; P<0.001) were two most independent risk factors for NAFLD. The maximal OR for BMI was 1.721 (95% CI, 1.336–2.217). In the female group, the maximal OR of ALT was found to be 1.104 (95% CI, 1.061–1.148). Age and thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and γ-GT levels were also risk factors, but they appeared only in some groups. The results of the ROC analysis showed that ALT was a better predictor of pediatric NAFLD than BMI. The maximum area under the ROC curve in six of the nine groups belongs to ALT. CONCLUSIONS: BMI, ALT, and age are risk factors for NAFLD in children with obesity before late puberty. BMI had the greatest exposure risk for NAFLD, and ALT had the highest predictive value for the diagnosis of NAFLD. At the stratified level, for exposure risk, age was specific to the male sex, TSH was specific to the early puberty stage, and γ-GT was specific to the female sex plus the prepuberty stage. On a stratified level, for the female sex, even with age stratification, BMI rather than ALT has a better ability for the diagnosis of NAFLD.