Mathematical modeling for freshness/spoilage of chicken breast using chemometric analysis

Chicken meat spoilage is a significant concern for food safety and quality, and this study aims to predict the spoilage point of chicken breast meat through various attributes and metabolites. Chicken meat was stored in anaerobic packaging at 4 °C for 13 days, and various meat quality attributes (pH, drip loss, color, volatile basic nitrogen [VBN], total aerobic bacteria [TAB], and metabolites) were examined. First, the spoiled point (VBN >20 mg/100 g and/or TAB >7 log CFU/g) of the chicken breast meat was determined. Using univariate and multivariate analyses, twenty-four candidate metabolites were identified. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to validate the obtained binary logistic regression model using nine metabolites (proline, methionine, glutamate, threonine, acetate, uridine 5′-monophosphate, hypoxanthine, glycine, and glutamine). The results showed a high area under the ROC curve value (0.992). Thus, this study confirmed the predictability of spoilage points in chicken breast meat through these nine metabolites.