Prediction of relative change in free nerve growth factor following subcutaneous administration of tanezumab, a novel monoclonal antibody to nerve growth factor

Tanezumab is a monoclonal antibody against nerve growth factor (NGF). We investigated tanezumab pharmacokinetic (PK)‐NGF relationships and predicted the extent of systemic free NGF suppression with target‐mediated drug disposition (TMDD) modeling using data from three pivotal phase III interventional studies (NCT02697773, NCT02709486, and NCT02528188) in patients with osteoarthritis. Patients received tanezumab 2.5 mg or 5 mg every 8 weeks (q8w) subcutaneously. A TMDD model using a previously established population PK model was used to describe plasma tanezumab and serum total NGF concentration data, and simulations were performed to predict “unobserved” free NGF versus time profiles and dose–response relationships for free NGF. A total of 2992 patients had available data for plasma tanezumab or serum total NGF concentrations and were included in the analysis; 706 of these had data for both tanezumab and total NGF concentrations. The model generally performed well to predict observed total NGF concentrations up to ~24 weeks after each dose. Simulations suggested free NGF concentration would be suppressed by ~75% (median) near the peak of tanezumab concentration and by less than 5% (median) around the trough tanezumab concentration with a tanezumab 2.5 mg q8w regimen. Free NGF concentration was predicted to return to baseline level at ~8 weeks (95% prediction interval: 5–16 weeks) after the last tanezumab dose. This model adequately described plasma tanezumab and serum total NGF concentrations following s.c. administration of tanezumab 2.5 or 5 mg q8w, allowed prediction of relative change in systemic free NGF following s.c. administration of tanezumab.