PathwayTMB: A pathway-based tumor mutational burden analysis method for predicting the clinical outcome of cancer immunotherapy

Immunotherapy has become one of the most promising therapy methods for cancer, but only a small number of patients are responsive to it, indicating that more effective biomarkers are urgently needed. This study developed a pathway analysis method, named PathwayTMB, to identify genomic mutation pathways that serve as potential biomarkers for predicting the clinical outcome of immunotherapy. PathwayTMB first calculates the patient-specific pathway-based tumor mutational burden (PTMB) to reflect the cumulative extent of mutations for each pathway. It then screens mutated survival benefit-related pathways to construct an immune-related prognostic signature based on PTMB (IPSP). In a melanoma training set, IPSP-high patients presented a longer overall survival and a higher response rate than IPSP-low patients. Moreover, the IPSP showed a superior predictive effect compared with TMB. In addition, the prognostic and predictive value of the IPSP was consistently validated in two independent validation sets. Finally, in a multi-cancer dataset, PathwayTMB also exhibited good performance. Our results indicate that PathwayTMB could identify the mutation pathways for predicting immunotherapeutic survival, and their combination may serve as a potential predictive biomarker for immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy.