Cargando…

A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria

The terms susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovered all have some inherent ambiguity because different population members have different susceptibility levels, exposure levels, infectiousness levels, and recovery patterns. This uncertainty becomes more pronounced when examining populat...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Dayan, Fazal, Ahmed, Nauman, Rafiq, Muhammad, Raza, Ali, Khan, Ilyas, eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10516986/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37739986
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42953-x
_version_ 1785109239456333824
author Dayan, Fazal
Ahmed, Nauman
Rafiq, Muhammad
Raza, Ali
Khan, Ilyas
eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag
author_facet Dayan, Fazal
Ahmed, Nauman
Rafiq, Muhammad
Raza, Ali
Khan, Ilyas
eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag
author_sort Dayan, Fazal
collection PubMed
description The terms susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovered all have some inherent ambiguity because different population members have different susceptibility levels, exposure levels, infectiousness levels, and recovery patterns. This uncertainty becomes more pronounced when examining population subgroups characterized by distinct behaviors, cultural norms, and varying degrees of resilience across different age brackets, thereby introducing the possibility of fluctuations. There is a need for more accurate models that take into account the various levels of susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovery of the individuals. A fuzzy SEIR model of the dynamics of the measles disease is discussed in this article. The rates of disease transmission and recovery are treated as fuzzy sets. Three distinct numerical approaches, the forward Euler, fourth-order Runge-Kutta, and nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) are employed for the resolution of this fuzzy SEIR model. Next, the outcomes of the three methods are examined. The results of the simulation demonstrate that the NSFD method adeptly portrays convergent solutions across various time step sizes. Conversely, the conventional Euler and RK-4 methods only exhibit positivity and convergence solutions when handling smaller step sizes. Even when considering larger step sizes, the NSFD method maintains its consistency, showcasing its efficacy. This demonstrates the NSFD technique’s superior reliability when compared to the other two methods, while maintaining all essential aspects of a continuous dynamical system. Additionally, the results from numerical and simulation studies offer solid proof that the suggested NSFD technique is a reliable and effective tool for controlling these kinds of dynamical systems.The convergence and consistency analysis of the NSFD method are also studied.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-10516986
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2023
publisher Nature Publishing Group UK
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-105169862023-09-24 A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria Dayan, Fazal Ahmed, Nauman Rafiq, Muhammad Raza, Ali Khan, Ilyas eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag Sci Rep Article The terms susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovered all have some inherent ambiguity because different population members have different susceptibility levels, exposure levels, infectiousness levels, and recovery patterns. This uncertainty becomes more pronounced when examining population subgroups characterized by distinct behaviors, cultural norms, and varying degrees of resilience across different age brackets, thereby introducing the possibility of fluctuations. There is a need for more accurate models that take into account the various levels of susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovery of the individuals. A fuzzy SEIR model of the dynamics of the measles disease is discussed in this article. The rates of disease transmission and recovery are treated as fuzzy sets. Three distinct numerical approaches, the forward Euler, fourth-order Runge-Kutta, and nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) are employed for the resolution of this fuzzy SEIR model. Next, the outcomes of the three methods are examined. The results of the simulation demonstrate that the NSFD method adeptly portrays convergent solutions across various time step sizes. Conversely, the conventional Euler and RK-4 methods only exhibit positivity and convergence solutions when handling smaller step sizes. Even when considering larger step sizes, the NSFD method maintains its consistency, showcasing its efficacy. This demonstrates the NSFD technique’s superior reliability when compared to the other two methods, while maintaining all essential aspects of a continuous dynamical system. Additionally, the results from numerical and simulation studies offer solid proof that the suggested NSFD technique is a reliable and effective tool for controlling these kinds of dynamical systems.The convergence and consistency analysis of the NSFD method are also studied. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-09-22 /pmc/articles/PMC10516986/ /pubmed/37739986 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42953-x Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Dayan, Fazal
Ahmed, Nauman
Rafiq, Muhammad
Raza, Ali
Khan, Ilyas
eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag
A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
title A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
title_full A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
title_fullStr A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
title_full_unstemmed A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
title_short A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
title_sort reliable numerical investigation of an seir model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10516986/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37739986
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42953-x
work_keys_str_mv AT dayanfazal areliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT ahmednauman areliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT rafiqmuhammad areliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT razaali areliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT khanilyas areliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT eldinelsayedmohamedtag areliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT dayanfazal reliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT ahmednauman reliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT rafiqmuhammad reliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT razaali reliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT khanilyas reliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria
AT eldinelsayedmohamedtag reliablenumericalinvestigationofanseirmodelofmeaslesdiseasedynamicswithfuzzycriteria