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A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria
The terms susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovered all have some inherent ambiguity because different population members have different susceptibility levels, exposure levels, infectiousness levels, and recovery patterns. This uncertainty becomes more pronounced when examining populat...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10516986/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37739986 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42953-x |
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author | Dayan, Fazal Ahmed, Nauman Rafiq, Muhammad Raza, Ali Khan, Ilyas eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag |
author_facet | Dayan, Fazal Ahmed, Nauman Rafiq, Muhammad Raza, Ali Khan, Ilyas eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag |
author_sort | Dayan, Fazal |
collection | PubMed |
description | The terms susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovered all have some inherent ambiguity because different population members have different susceptibility levels, exposure levels, infectiousness levels, and recovery patterns. This uncertainty becomes more pronounced when examining population subgroups characterized by distinct behaviors, cultural norms, and varying degrees of resilience across different age brackets, thereby introducing the possibility of fluctuations. There is a need for more accurate models that take into account the various levels of susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovery of the individuals. A fuzzy SEIR model of the dynamics of the measles disease is discussed in this article. The rates of disease transmission and recovery are treated as fuzzy sets. Three distinct numerical approaches, the forward Euler, fourth-order Runge-Kutta, and nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) are employed for the resolution of this fuzzy SEIR model. Next, the outcomes of the three methods are examined. The results of the simulation demonstrate that the NSFD method adeptly portrays convergent solutions across various time step sizes. Conversely, the conventional Euler and RK-4 methods only exhibit positivity and convergence solutions when handling smaller step sizes. Even when considering larger step sizes, the NSFD method maintains its consistency, showcasing its efficacy. This demonstrates the NSFD technique’s superior reliability when compared to the other two methods, while maintaining all essential aspects of a continuous dynamical system. Additionally, the results from numerical and simulation studies offer solid proof that the suggested NSFD technique is a reliable and effective tool for controlling these kinds of dynamical systems.The convergence and consistency analysis of the NSFD method are also studied. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10516986 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-105169862023-09-24 A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria Dayan, Fazal Ahmed, Nauman Rafiq, Muhammad Raza, Ali Khan, Ilyas eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag Sci Rep Article The terms susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovered all have some inherent ambiguity because different population members have different susceptibility levels, exposure levels, infectiousness levels, and recovery patterns. This uncertainty becomes more pronounced when examining population subgroups characterized by distinct behaviors, cultural norms, and varying degrees of resilience across different age brackets, thereby introducing the possibility of fluctuations. There is a need for more accurate models that take into account the various levels of susceptibility, exposure, infectiousness, and recovery of the individuals. A fuzzy SEIR model of the dynamics of the measles disease is discussed in this article. The rates of disease transmission and recovery are treated as fuzzy sets. Three distinct numerical approaches, the forward Euler, fourth-order Runge-Kutta, and nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) are employed for the resolution of this fuzzy SEIR model. Next, the outcomes of the three methods are examined. The results of the simulation demonstrate that the NSFD method adeptly portrays convergent solutions across various time step sizes. Conversely, the conventional Euler and RK-4 methods only exhibit positivity and convergence solutions when handling smaller step sizes. Even when considering larger step sizes, the NSFD method maintains its consistency, showcasing its efficacy. This demonstrates the NSFD technique’s superior reliability when compared to the other two methods, while maintaining all essential aspects of a continuous dynamical system. Additionally, the results from numerical and simulation studies offer solid proof that the suggested NSFD technique is a reliable and effective tool for controlling these kinds of dynamical systems.The convergence and consistency analysis of the NSFD method are also studied. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-09-22 /pmc/articles/PMC10516986/ /pubmed/37739986 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42953-x Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Dayan, Fazal Ahmed, Nauman Rafiq, Muhammad Raza, Ali Khan, Ilyas eldin, Elsayed Mohamed Tag A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria |
title | A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria |
title_full | A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria |
title_fullStr | A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria |
title_full_unstemmed | A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria |
title_short | A reliable numerical investigation of an SEIR model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria |
title_sort | reliable numerical investigation of an seir model of measles disease dynamics with fuzzy criteria |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10516986/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37739986 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42953-x |
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