Evaluating the Utility of ctDNA in Detecting Residual Cancer and Predicting Recurrence in Patients with Serous Ovarian Cancer

Ovarian cancer has a high case fatality rate, but patients who have no visible residual disease after surgery have a relatively good prognosis. The presence of any cancer cells left in the peritoneal cavity after treatment may precipitate a cancer recurrence. In many cases, these cells are occult and are not visible to the surgeon. Analysis of circulating tumour DNA in the blood (ctDNA) may offer a sensitive method to predict the presence of occult (non-visible) residual disease after surgery and may help predict disease recurrence. We assessed 48 women diagnosed with serous ovarian cancer (47 high-grade and 1 low-grade) for visible residual disease and for ctDNA. Plasma, formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumour tissue and white blood cells were used to extract circulating free DNA (cfDNA), tumour DNA and germline DNA, respectively. We sequenced DNA samples for 59 breast and ovarian cancer driver genes. The plasma sample was collected after surgery and before initiating chemotherapy. We compared survival in women with no residual disease, with and without a positive plasma ctDNA test. We found tumour-specific variants (TSVs) in cancer cells from 47 patients, and these variants were sought in ctDNA in their post-surgery plasma. Fifteen (31.9%) of the 47 patients had visible residual disease; of these, all 15 had detectable ctDNA. Thirty-one patients (65.9%) had no visible residual disease; of these, 24 (77.4%) patients had detectable ctDNA. Of the patients with no visible residual disease, those patients with detectable ctDNA had higher mortality (20 of 27 died) than those without detectable ctDNA (3 of 7 died) (HR 2.32; 95% CI: 0.67–8.05), although this difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.18). ctDNA in post-surgical serum samples may predict the presence of microscopic residual disease and may be a predictor of recurrence among women with ovarian cancer. Larger studies are necessary to validate these findings.