A Deep Learning-Based Model for Classifying Osteoporotic Lumbar Vertebral Fractures on Radiographs: A Retrospective Model Development and Validation Study

Early diagnosis and initiation of treatment for fresh osteoporotic lumbar vertebral fractures (OLVF) are crucial. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is generally performed to differentiate between fresh and old OLVF. However, MRIs can be intolerable for patients with severe back pain. Furthermore, it is difficult to perform in an emergency. MRI should therefore only be performed in appropriately selected patients with a high suspicion of fresh fractures. As radiography is the first-choice imaging examination for the diagnosis of OLVF, improving screening accuracy with radiographs will optimize the decision of whether an MRI is necessary. This study aimed to develop a method to automatically classify lumbar vertebrae (LV) conditions such as normal, old, or fresh OLVF using deep learning methods with radiography. A total of 3481 LV images for training, validation, and testing and 662 LV images for external validation were collected. Visual evaluation by two radiologists determined the ground truth of LV diagnoses. Three convolutional neural networks were ensembled. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.89, 0.83, and 0.92 in the test and 0.84, 0.76, and 0.89 in the external validation, respectively. The results suggest that the proposed method can contribute to the accurate automatic classification of LV conditions on radiography.