Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients

BACKGROUND: The lack of a widely-used tool for predicting early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients prompted us to develop the Cricothyroidotomy After Trauma (CAT) score. We aimed to predict the need for cricothyroidotomy within one hour of trauma patient arrival. METHODS: Derivation and validation datasets were obtained from the Trauma Quality Improvement Program (TQIP) database. Logistic modeling identified predictors, and weighted averages were used to create the CAT score. The score's performance was assessed using AUROC. RESULTS: Among 1,373,823 derivation patients, <1 % (n = 339) underwent cricothyroidotomy within one hour. The CAT score, comprising nine predictors, achieved an AUROC of 0.88. Severe neck injury and gunshot wound were the strongest predictors. Cricothyroidotomy rates increased from 0.4 % to 9.3 % at scores of 5 and 8, respectively. In the validation set, the CAT tool yielded an AUROC of 0.9. CONCLUSION: The CAT score is a validated tool for predicting the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients. Further research is necessary to enhance its utility and assess its value in trauma care.