A novel prognosis-prediction model based on coagulation indicators in secondary hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis

Secondary hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is a life-threatening disease. In the present retrospective study, we aimed to investigate coagulation disorders and their outcome implications in patients with secondary HLH. We evaluated clinical characteristics and the relationship between coagulation indices and prognosis in HLH patients (n = 141). The information, including clinical symptoms, laboratory indicators, and coagulation indices, was evaluated. Coagulation disorders and bleeding events occurred in 95 (67.4%) and 60 (42.6%) patients, respectively. A coagulation index analysis primarily showed elevated levels of D-Dimer, the international standardized ratio (INR), prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), and thrombin time (TT), while the prothrombin activity, fibrinogen levels, and platelet levels were significantly decreased. Dominant disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) occurred in 76 patients (53.9%). Patients with lymphoma-associated hemophagocytic syndrome (LAHS) frequently exhibited apparent coagulation disorders. Multivariate analysis revealed that age ≥ 29.5 years, bleeding events, APTT ≥ 47.3 s, fibrinogen ≤ 1.68 g/L, and absolute neutrophil counts (ANC) of ≤ 1.21 × 10(9)/L were independent prognostic factors. We thereby devised a prognostic scoring system and stratified patients into low-risk (0–2 points), intermediate-risk (3–4 points), and high-risk (5–7 points) groups, and the 1-year overall survival rates in the above-mentioned groups were 66.40%, 40.00%, and 2.30%, respectively (P < 0.0001). In conclusion, coagulation dysfunctions and bleeding tendencies were common characteristics in HLH patients. We constructed a novel prognostic score model based on APTT, fibrinogen level, ANC, age, and bleeding events, which had superior prognostic value compared with these markers alone. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00277-023-05398-w.