Utility of basal and peak TSH values in TRH stimulation testing for predicting the long-term therapeutic prognosis of primary congenital hypothyroidism

In Japan, most neonates undergo screening for congenital hypothyroidism (CH). A TRH stimulation test (TRH-T) may be performed after initial treatment as a useful method for reevaluating the patient’s thyroid status. However, no studies have compared basal and peak TSH values in TRH-T in patients with long-term follow-up. This was a retrospective and observational study. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) CH diagnosis based on positive newborn screening, (2) follow-up > 15 yr, and (3) TRH-T after LT4 discontinuation. The participants were divided into a no-treatment group (No-T group) and a treatment group (T group). The No-T and T groups included 14 and nine patients, respectively. The age at TRH-T was 5.38 yr for the No-T group and 4.25 yr for the T group, with no significant difference. The basal and peak TSH levels were significantly lower in the No-T group. The areas under the Receiver operating characteristic curve for basal and peak TSH values were 0.984 and 0.905, respectively. When the basal TSH level was under 4.594 IU/mL, the No-T group had a sensitivity of 1.00 and a specificity of 0.93. Basal TSH levels alone may be sufficient for predicting the long-term therapeutic prognosis of patients with CH.