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Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use

Insect pollinator biodiversity is changing rapidly, with potential consequences for the provision of crop pollination. However, the role of land use–climate interactions in pollinator biodiversity changes, as well as consequent economic effects via changes in crop pollination, remains poorly underst...

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Autores principales: Millard, Joseph, Outhwaite, Charlotte L., Ceaușu, Silvia, Carvalheiro, Luísa G., da Silva e Silva, Felipe Deodato, Dicks, Lynn V., Ollerton, Jeff, Newbold, Tim
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10569713/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37824611
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adh0756
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author Millard, Joseph
Outhwaite, Charlotte L.
Ceaușu, Silvia
Carvalheiro, Luísa G.
da Silva e Silva, Felipe Deodato
Dicks, Lynn V.
Ollerton, Jeff
Newbold, Tim
author_facet Millard, Joseph
Outhwaite, Charlotte L.
Ceaușu, Silvia
Carvalheiro, Luísa G.
da Silva e Silva, Felipe Deodato
Dicks, Lynn V.
Ollerton, Jeff
Newbold, Tim
author_sort Millard, Joseph
collection PubMed
description Insect pollinator biodiversity is changing rapidly, with potential consequences for the provision of crop pollination. However, the role of land use–climate interactions in pollinator biodiversity changes, as well as consequent economic effects via changes in crop pollination, remains poorly understood. We present a global assessment of the interactive effects of climate change and land use on pollinator abundance and richness and predictions of the risk to crop pollination from the inferred changes. Using a dataset containing 2673 sites and 3080 insect pollinator species, we show that the interactive combination of agriculture and climate change is associated with large reductions in insect pollinators. As a result, it is expected that the tropics will experience the greatest risk to crop production from pollinator losses. Localized risk is highest and predicted to increase most rapidly, in regions of sub-Saharan Africa, northern South America, and Southeast Asia. Via pollinator loss alone, climate change and agricultural land use could be a risk to human well-being.
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spelling pubmed-105697132023-10-13 Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use Millard, Joseph Outhwaite, Charlotte L. Ceaușu, Silvia Carvalheiro, Luísa G. da Silva e Silva, Felipe Deodato Dicks, Lynn V. Ollerton, Jeff Newbold, Tim Sci Adv Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences Insect pollinator biodiversity is changing rapidly, with potential consequences for the provision of crop pollination. However, the role of land use–climate interactions in pollinator biodiversity changes, as well as consequent economic effects via changes in crop pollination, remains poorly understood. We present a global assessment of the interactive effects of climate change and land use on pollinator abundance and richness and predictions of the risk to crop pollination from the inferred changes. Using a dataset containing 2673 sites and 3080 insect pollinator species, we show that the interactive combination of agriculture and climate change is associated with large reductions in insect pollinators. As a result, it is expected that the tropics will experience the greatest risk to crop production from pollinator losses. Localized risk is highest and predicted to increase most rapidly, in regions of sub-Saharan Africa, northern South America, and Southeast Asia. Via pollinator loss alone, climate change and agricultural land use could be a risk to human well-being. American Association for the Advancement of Science 2023-10-12 /pmc/articles/PMC10569713/ /pubmed/37824611 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adh0756 Text en Copyright © 2023 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences
Millard, Joseph
Outhwaite, Charlotte L.
Ceaușu, Silvia
Carvalheiro, Luísa G.
da Silva e Silva, Felipe Deodato
Dicks, Lynn V.
Ollerton, Jeff
Newbold, Tim
Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use
title Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use
title_full Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use
title_fullStr Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use
title_full_unstemmed Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use
title_short Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use
title_sort key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use
topic Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10569713/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37824611
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adh0756
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