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Windows of opportunity for predicting seasonal climate extremes highlighted by the Pakistan floods of 2022

Skilful predictions of near-term climate extremes are key to a resilient society. However, standard methods of analysing seasonal forecasts are not optimised to identify the rarer and most impactful extremes. For example, standard tercile probability maps, used in real-time regional climate outlooks...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Dunstone, Nick, Smith, Doug M., Hardiman, Steven C., Davies, Paul, Ineson, Sarah, Jain, Shipra, Kent, Chris, Martin, Gill, Scaife, Adam A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10582174/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37848427
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42377-1

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