Association between fibrosis-related gene polymorphism and long-term allograft outcome in renal transplant recipients

BACKGROUND: Renal allograft fibrosis is one of characteristic causes of long-term renal function loss. The purpose of our study is to investigate the association between fibrosis-related genes single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) and kidney function in 5 years after kidney transplantation. METHODS: A total of 143 recipients were eligible for screening with 5-year follow-up information and SNP sequencing information from blood samples were included in this study. Minor Allele Frequency (MAF) and Hardy–Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE) analysis was conducted to identify tagger single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and haplotypes. SNPs associated with the fifth year chronic kidney disease (CKD) staging were screened by SPSS and the “SNPassoc” package in RStudio and used for subsequent prediction model construction. RESULTS: A total of 275 renal transplant-related SNPs identified after target sequencing analysis. 64 Tagger SNPs were selected, and two SNPs (rs13969 and rs243849) were statistically significant for stage of CKD in 5 years. Finally, a model based on Gender, Age, rs1396, and rs243849 was constructed by multivariate linear regression analysis. Additionally, this model has a good performance in predicting uremia five years after kidney transplantation. CONCLUSION: Two SNPs (rs13969 and rs243849) were identified to be significantly associated with long-term renal allograft function. Based on this, a prediction model for long-term allograft function was established containing Gender, Age, rs1396, and rs243849. However, an independent cohort should be enrolled to validate the predicting performance. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12920-023-01686-6.