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Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic showed that we were not prepared for unexpected and uncertain events. Foresight provides a process that explores the future to anticipate such events and be better prepared. However, in public health, foresight is underdeveloped and underused. It is necessary that p...

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Autores principales: Moye-Holz, D, Mutubuki, E N, de Vries, M, Hilderink, H
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Oxford University Press 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10596981/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckad160.236
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author Moye-Holz, D
Mutubuki, E N
de Vries, M
Hilderink, H
author_facet Moye-Holz, D
Mutubuki, E N
de Vries, M
Hilderink, H
author_sort Moye-Holz, D
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic showed that we were not prepared for unexpected and uncertain events. Foresight provides a process that explores the future to anticipate such events and be better prepared. However, in public health, foresight is underdeveloped and underused. It is necessary that policy makers and stakeholders realize the potential and benefits of including foresight into the policy cycle and advocate towards its implementation. METHODS: Foresight provides a systematic, participatory, and vision-building process that explores the future to anticipate trends and support present-day actions. It provides a participatory platform to discuss such trends and explore different scenarios to get insights into possible challenges and how to address them. RESULTS: Foresight studies can allow policy makers to discuss trends, build scenarios, and anticipate future challenges while also exploring desirable futures. We propose several recommendations to professionals and policy makers to include foresight into the policy cycle to promote sustainable and resilient health systems. CONCLUSIONS: Foresight does not predict the future, it rather explores it through plausible scenarios that consider uncertainty. It provides an overview into possible future challenges to allow present-day policies that anticipate and address these challenges. Implementing foresight into the policy cycle can be a strategic tool towards addressing uncertain challenges and building desirable futures.
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spelling pubmed-105969812023-10-25 Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future Moye-Holz, D Mutubuki, E N de Vries, M Hilderink, H Eur J Public Health Parallel Programme BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic showed that we were not prepared for unexpected and uncertain events. Foresight provides a process that explores the future to anticipate such events and be better prepared. However, in public health, foresight is underdeveloped and underused. It is necessary that policy makers and stakeholders realize the potential and benefits of including foresight into the policy cycle and advocate towards its implementation. METHODS: Foresight provides a systematic, participatory, and vision-building process that explores the future to anticipate trends and support present-day actions. It provides a participatory platform to discuss such trends and explore different scenarios to get insights into possible challenges and how to address them. RESULTS: Foresight studies can allow policy makers to discuss trends, build scenarios, and anticipate future challenges while also exploring desirable futures. We propose several recommendations to professionals and policy makers to include foresight into the policy cycle to promote sustainable and resilient health systems. CONCLUSIONS: Foresight does not predict the future, it rather explores it through plausible scenarios that consider uncertainty. It provides an overview into possible future challenges to allow present-day policies that anticipate and address these challenges. Implementing foresight into the policy cycle can be a strategic tool towards addressing uncertain challenges and building desirable futures. Oxford University Press 2023-10-24 /pmc/articles/PMC10596981/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckad160.236 Text en © The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Public Health Association. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
spellingShingle Parallel Programme
Moye-Holz, D
Mutubuki, E N
de Vries, M
Hilderink, H
Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future
title Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future
title_full Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future
title_fullStr Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future
title_full_unstemmed Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future
title_short Foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future
title_sort foresight for policy making to be better prepared for the future
topic Parallel Programme
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10596981/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckad160.236
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