Quantitative analysis of early apparent diffusion coefficient values from MRIs for predicting neurological prognosis in survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: an observational study

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to quantitatively analyse ultra-early brain diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) findings to determine the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) threshold associated with neurological outcomes in comatose survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). METHODS: This retrospective study included adult survivors of comatose OHCA who underwent DW-MRI imaging scans using a 3-T MRI scanner within 6 h of the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). We investigated the association between neurological outcomes and ADC values obtained through voxel-based analysis on DW-MRI. Additionally, we constructed multivariable logistic regression models with pupillary light reflex (PLR), serum neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and ADC values as independent variables to predict poor neurological outcomes. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome 6 months after ROSC, determined by the Cerebral Performance Category 3–5. RESULTS: Overall, 131 patients (26% female) were analysed, of whom 74 (57%) showed poor neurological outcomes. The group with a poor neurological outcome had lower mean whole brain ADC values (739.1 vs. 787.1 × 10(–6) mm/s) and higher percentages of voxels with ADC below threshold in all ranges (250–1150) (all P < 0.001). The mean whole brain ADC values (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.83) and the percentage of voxels with ADC below 600 (AUC 0.81) had the highest sensitivity of 51% (95% confidence interval [CI] 39.4–63.1; cut-off value ≤ 739.2 × 10(−6) mm(2)/s and > 17.2%, respectively) when the false positive rate (FPR) was 0%. In the multivariable model, which also included PLR, NSE, and mean whole brain ADC values, poor neurological outcome was predicted with the highest accuracy (AUC 0.91; 51% sensitivity). This model showed more accurate prediction and sensitivity at an FPR of 0% than did the combination of PLR and NSE (AUC 0.86; 30% sensitivity; P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort study, early voxel-based quantitative ADC analysis after ROSC was associated with poor neurological outcomes 6 months after cardiac arrest. The mean whole brain ADC value demonstrated the highest sensitivity when the FPR was 0%, and including it in the multivariable model improved the prediction of poor neurological outcomes. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-023-04696-z.