Pattern and time point of relapse in locally advanced esophagogastric adenocarcinoma after multimodal treatment: implications for a useful structured follow-up

PURPOSE: Despite improvements in multimodal treatment of locally advanced esophagogastric adenocarcinoma, the majority of patients still relapses. The impact of structured follow-up for early detection of recurrence is unclear and controversially discussed. METHODS: Patients with locally advanced esophagogastric adenocarcinoma having received neoadjuvant/perioperative chemotherapy followed by tumor resection between 2009 and 2021, underwent a structured follow-up including three-monthly imaging during the first 2 years, followed by semiannual and annual examinations in year 3–4 and 5, respectively. Clinical outcome including pattern and time point of relapse was analyzed. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-seven patients were included in this analysis. In 50.2% (n = 129) of patients, recurrent disease was diagnosed, with the majority (94.6%) relapsing within the first 2 years. The most common site of relapse were lymph node metastases followed by peritoneal carcinomatosis and hepatic and pulmonary metastases. 52.7% of patients presented with symptoms at the time of relapse. Cumulative risk and time point of relapse differed significantly between patient with a node-positive tumor (ypN+) after neoadjuvant treatment (high-risk group) and patients with node-negative primary tumor (ypN0) (low-risk group). High-risk patients had a significantly inferior disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) with 11.1 and 29.0 months, respectively, whereas median DFS and OS were not reached for the low-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of relapse differs significantly between high- and low-risk patients. Only a part of relapses is associated with clinical symptoms. An individualized follow-up strategy is recommended for high- and low-risk patients considering the individual risk of relapse. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00432-023-05254-4.