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Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State

Northeast Brazil is a region with great international tourist potential. Among the states that make up this region, Paraíba stands out due to the presence of vulnerable groups and factors that contribute to adverse outcomes of COVID-19. Therefore, the aim of this study was to analyze the epidemiolog...

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Autores principales: da Silva, Fabiola Ferreira, de Abreu, Luiz Carlos, Daboin, Blanca Elena Guerrero, Morais, Tassiane Cristina, Cavalcanti, Matheus Paiva Emidio, Bezerra, Italla Maria Pinheiro, da Silva, Célia Guarnieri, Figueira, Fernando Augusto Marinho dos Santos, de Caldas Guedes, Viviane Valeria, Perez Riera, Andres Ricardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10611110/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37896793
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v15102016
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author da Silva, Fabiola Ferreira
de Abreu, Luiz Carlos
Daboin, Blanca Elena Guerrero
Morais, Tassiane Cristina
Cavalcanti, Matheus Paiva Emidio
Bezerra, Italla Maria Pinheiro
da Silva, Célia Guarnieri
Figueira, Fernando Augusto Marinho dos Santos
de Caldas Guedes, Viviane Valeria
Perez Riera, Andres Ricardo
author_facet da Silva, Fabiola Ferreira
de Abreu, Luiz Carlos
Daboin, Blanca Elena Guerrero
Morais, Tassiane Cristina
Cavalcanti, Matheus Paiva Emidio
Bezerra, Italla Maria Pinheiro
da Silva, Célia Guarnieri
Figueira, Fernando Augusto Marinho dos Santos
de Caldas Guedes, Viviane Valeria
Perez Riera, Andres Ricardo
author_sort da Silva, Fabiola Ferreira
collection PubMed
description Northeast Brazil is a region with great international tourist potential. Among the states that make up this region, Paraíba stands out due to the presence of vulnerable groups and factors that contribute to adverse outcomes of COVID-19. Therefore, the aim of this study was to analyze the epidemiological data on the incidence, mortality, and case fatality of COVID-19 in Paraíba. An ecological, population-based study was performed, with data extracted from the Brazilian Ministry of Health database. All cases and deaths from COVID-19 from March 2020 to December 2022 were included. The time series was built by applying the Prais–Winsten regression model, and the daily percent change was calculated to analyze the trends. The highest case fatality of the entire period was in April 2020 (7.8%), but in March 2021, the state broke the dismal record of 1248 deaths and the highest mortality rate (30.5 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants). Stationary mortality and case fatality were better in 2022; however, in February 2022, the mortality rate was at levels similar to the same month of the previous year. These results illustrate that COVID-19 is evolving and needs to be constantly monitored.
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spelling pubmed-106111102023-10-28 Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State da Silva, Fabiola Ferreira de Abreu, Luiz Carlos Daboin, Blanca Elena Guerrero Morais, Tassiane Cristina Cavalcanti, Matheus Paiva Emidio Bezerra, Italla Maria Pinheiro da Silva, Célia Guarnieri Figueira, Fernando Augusto Marinho dos Santos de Caldas Guedes, Viviane Valeria Perez Riera, Andres Ricardo Viruses Article Northeast Brazil is a region with great international tourist potential. Among the states that make up this region, Paraíba stands out due to the presence of vulnerable groups and factors that contribute to adverse outcomes of COVID-19. Therefore, the aim of this study was to analyze the epidemiological data on the incidence, mortality, and case fatality of COVID-19 in Paraíba. An ecological, population-based study was performed, with data extracted from the Brazilian Ministry of Health database. All cases and deaths from COVID-19 from March 2020 to December 2022 were included. The time series was built by applying the Prais–Winsten regression model, and the daily percent change was calculated to analyze the trends. The highest case fatality of the entire period was in April 2020 (7.8%), but in March 2021, the state broke the dismal record of 1248 deaths and the highest mortality rate (30.5 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants). Stationary mortality and case fatality were better in 2022; however, in February 2022, the mortality rate was at levels similar to the same month of the previous year. These results illustrate that COVID-19 is evolving and needs to be constantly monitored. MDPI 2023-09-28 /pmc/articles/PMC10611110/ /pubmed/37896793 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v15102016 Text en © 2023 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
da Silva, Fabiola Ferreira
de Abreu, Luiz Carlos
Daboin, Blanca Elena Guerrero
Morais, Tassiane Cristina
Cavalcanti, Matheus Paiva Emidio
Bezerra, Italla Maria Pinheiro
da Silva, Célia Guarnieri
Figueira, Fernando Augusto Marinho dos Santos
de Caldas Guedes, Viviane Valeria
Perez Riera, Andres Ricardo
Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State
title Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State
title_full Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State
title_fullStr Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State
title_full_unstemmed Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State
title_short Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiological Indicators in a Low-Income Brazilian Context: A Retrospective Analysis in Paraiba State
title_sort temporal analysis of covid-19 epidemiological indicators in a low-income brazilian context: a retrospective analysis in paraiba state
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10611110/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37896793
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v15102016
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