A novel radiomics based on multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging for predicting Ki-67 expression in rectal cancer: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND: To explore the value of multiparametric MRI markers for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression among patients with rectal cancer. METHODS: Data from 259 patients with postoperative pathological confirmation of rectal adenocarcinoma who had received enhanced MRI and Ki-67 detection was divided into 4 cohorts: training (139 cases), internal validation (in-valid, 60 cases), and external validation (ex-valid, 60 cases) cohorts. The patients were divided into low and high Ki-67 expression groups. In the training cohort, DWI, T2WI, and contrast enhancement T1WI (CE-T1) sequence radiomics features were extracted from MRI images. Radiomics marker scores and regression coefficient were then calculated for data fitting to construct a radscore model. Subsequently, clinical features with statistical significance were selected to construct a combined model for preoperative individualized prediction of rectal cancer Ki-67 expression. The models were internally and externally validated, and the AUC of each model was calculated. Calibration and decision curves were used to evaluate the clinical practicality of nomograms. RESULTS: Three models for predicting rectal cancer Ki-67 expression were constructed. The AUC and Delong test results revealed that the combined model had better prediction performance than other models in three chohrts. A decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram based on the combined model had relatively good clinical performance, which can be an intuitive prediction tool for clinicians. CONCLUSION: The multiparametric MRI radiomics model can provide a noninvasive and accurate auxiliary tool for preoperative evaluation of Ki-67 expression in patients with rectal cancer and can support clinical decision-making.