Combining C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and serum albumin to predict long-term mortality in patients with infective endocarditis

OBJECTIVE: To determine the predictive value of C-reactive protein (CRP) plus albumin plus procalcitonin for long-term mortality in patients with infective endocarditis. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients hospitalized with infective endocarditis between February 2008 and December 2021. CRP, procalcitonin, and albumin levels were measured within 24 h of admission and dichotomized as high or low. A CRP plus procalcitonin plus albumin points system (range, 3–6) was generated based on high or low CRP, procalcitonin, and albumin concentrations. Patients were divided into two groups: low-risk (≤4 points) and high-risk (>4 points), according to total score. The primary outcome was defined as all-cause mortality rate at long-term follow-up. RESULTS: Out of 204 patients in total, the high-risk group (n = 29) had higher procalcitonin and CRP levels versus the low-risk group (n = 175), but lower albumin level versus the low-risk group (2.7 ± 0.5 versus 3.5 ± 0.6 g/dl). Matching based on propensity scores showed a higher mortality rate in high-risk versus low-risk patients (76% versus 44%, respectively). In multivariate analysis after matching, the high-risk group was associated with increased long-term mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 2.87, 95% confidence interval 1.32, 6.26). Conclusions: A high CRP plus albumin plus procalcitonin score was associated with long-term mortality risk in patients with infective endocarditis.