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Retrospective evaluation of short-term forecast performance of ensemble sub-epidemic frameworks and other time-series models: The 2022-2023 mpox outbreak across multiple geographical scales, July 14(th), 2022, through February 26th, 2023

In May 2022, public health officials noted an unprecedented surge in mpox cases in non-endemic countries worldwide. As the epidemic accelerated, multi-model forecasts of the epidemic’s trajectory were critical in guiding the implementation of public health interventions and determining policy. As th...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Bleichrodt, Amanda, Luo, Ruiyan, Kirpich, Alexander, Chowell, Gerardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10615009/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37905035
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2023.05.15.23289989