Cargando…

Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer

The cost signal of electricity in the competitive electrical energy marketplaces is of special importance for all planning and operation activities. Also, the price of electricity has an uncertain nature and various factors affect it in the short and long term. Factors active in the electricity mark...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Huang, Xiangqiong, Lai, Minling, Song, Huiyi, Tang, Zhicai, Cui, Wenjun, Eslami, Mahdiyeh
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10616150/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37916080
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20839
_version_ 1785129329266524160
author Huang, Xiangqiong
Lai, Minling
Song, Huiyi
Tang, Zhicai
Cui, Wenjun
Eslami, Mahdiyeh
author_facet Huang, Xiangqiong
Lai, Minling
Song, Huiyi
Tang, Zhicai
Cui, Wenjun
Eslami, Mahdiyeh
author_sort Huang, Xiangqiong
collection PubMed
description The cost signal of electricity in the competitive electrical energy marketplaces is of special importance for all planning and operation activities. Also, the price of electricity has an uncertain nature and various factors affect it in the short and long term. Factors active in the electricity market need to accurately and effectively forecast the electricity price signal to manage risk in the market. For estimating future electricity prices, this research suggests a combined procedure on the basis of Elman neural network model and the wavelet transform. The proposed Elman neural network/wavelet transform forecasted the next hour's power price based on the past 24 h' pricing. This research uses an optimized Elman neural network using a developed deer hunting optimizer and the total model is named Elman neural network/developed deer hunting optimization-wavelet transform. In this paper, Data of Zone Preliminary Billing is used for establishing the training of model and forecasting of performance. The method is then compared with some other published works and the outcomes demonstrate the offered approach superiority toward those for the electrical cost predicting.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-10616150
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2023
publisher Elsevier
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-106161502023-11-01 Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer Huang, Xiangqiong Lai, Minling Song, Huiyi Tang, Zhicai Cui, Wenjun Eslami, Mahdiyeh Heliyon Research Article The cost signal of electricity in the competitive electrical energy marketplaces is of special importance for all planning and operation activities. Also, the price of electricity has an uncertain nature and various factors affect it in the short and long term. Factors active in the electricity market need to accurately and effectively forecast the electricity price signal to manage risk in the market. For estimating future electricity prices, this research suggests a combined procedure on the basis of Elman neural network model and the wavelet transform. The proposed Elman neural network/wavelet transform forecasted the next hour's power price based on the past 24 h' pricing. This research uses an optimized Elman neural network using a developed deer hunting optimizer and the total model is named Elman neural network/developed deer hunting optimization-wavelet transform. In this paper, Data of Zone Preliminary Billing is used for establishing the training of model and forecasting of performance. The method is then compared with some other published works and the outcomes demonstrate the offered approach superiority toward those for the electrical cost predicting. Elsevier 2023-10-10 /pmc/articles/PMC10616150/ /pubmed/37916080 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20839 Text en © 2023 The Authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Research Article
Huang, Xiangqiong
Lai, Minling
Song, Huiyi
Tang, Zhicai
Cui, Wenjun
Eslami, Mahdiyeh
Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer
title Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer
title_full Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer
title_fullStr Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer
title_full_unstemmed Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer
title_short Hybrid wavelet/Elman NN model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer
title_sort hybrid wavelet/elman nn model for short term cost prediction utilizing developed deer hunting optimizer
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10616150/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37916080
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20839
work_keys_str_mv AT huangxiangqiong hybridwaveletelmannnmodelforshorttermcostpredictionutilizingdevelopeddeerhuntingoptimizer
AT laiminling hybridwaveletelmannnmodelforshorttermcostpredictionutilizingdevelopeddeerhuntingoptimizer
AT songhuiyi hybridwaveletelmannnmodelforshorttermcostpredictionutilizingdevelopeddeerhuntingoptimizer
AT tangzhicai hybridwaveletelmannnmodelforshorttermcostpredictionutilizingdevelopeddeerhuntingoptimizer
AT cuiwenjun hybridwaveletelmannnmodelforshorttermcostpredictionutilizingdevelopeddeerhuntingoptimizer
AT eslamimahdiyeh hybridwaveletelmannnmodelforshorttermcostpredictionutilizingdevelopeddeerhuntingoptimizer