Prognosis of recurrence after complete resection in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma based on molecular alterations: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Molecular biomarkers have the potential to predict the recurrence risk of early-stage lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) after complete resection, but the study results are controversial. We aimed to clarify the association of molecular alterations with disease-free survival (DFS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in early-stage LUAD with R0 resection. Comprehensive searches were conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library for this systematic review and meta-analysis with date restrictions from 2012 to 2022. In the 18 included studies, data from a total of 7417 participants in 11 studies and 4167 participants in 9 studies were collected for the EGFR and KRAS meta-analyses, respectively. Two studies were assessed as having a moderate risk of bias, and the others were all assessed as having a high individual risk of bias. The molecular alterations in KRAS rather than EGFR, were associated with a high risk of recurrence for early-stage LUAD patients suffering from R0 resection, especially for those in pStage I, the pooled hazard ratios (HRs) of KRAS were 2.71 (95% CI, 1.81–4.06; I(2) = 22%; P < 0.00001) and 1.95 (95% CI, 1.25–3.20; I(2) = 57%; P = 0.003) with small interstudy heterogeneity in univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively. This finding suggests that molecular alterations in KRAS that could be detected by polymerase chain reaction techniques would provide new insight into stratifying risk and personalizing patient postoperative follow-up.