Predicting multiple linear stapler firings in double stapling technique with an MRI-based deep-learning model

Multiple linear stapler firings is a risk factor for anastomotic leakage (AL) in laparoscopic low anterior resection (LAR) using double stapling technique (DST) anastomosis. In this study, our objective was to establish the risk factors for ≥ 3 linear stapler firings, and to create and validate a predictive model for ≥ 3 linear stapler firings in laparoscopic LAR using DST anastomosis. We retrospectively enrolled 328 mid–low rectal cancer patients undergoing laparoscopic LAR using DST anastomosis. With a split ratio of 4:1, patients were randomly divided into 2 sets: the training set (n = 260) and the testing set (n = 68). A clinical predictive model of ≥ 3 linear stapler firings was constructed by binary logistic regression. Based on three-dimensional convolutional networks, we built an image model using only magnetic resonance (MR) images segmented by Mask region-based convolutional neural network, and an integrated model based on both MR images and clinical variables. Area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and Youden index were calculated for each model. And the three models were validated by an independent cohort of 128 patients. There were 17.7% (58/328) patients received ≥ 3 linear stapler firings. Tumor size ≥ 5 cm (odds ratio (OR) = 2.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.15–5.60, p = 0.021) and preoperative carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA) level > 5 ng/mL [OR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.20–4.04, p = 0.011] were independent risk factors associated with ≥ 3 linear stapler firings. The integrated model (AUC = 0.88, accuracy = 94.1%) performed better on predicting ≥ 3 linear stapler firings than the clinical model (AUC = 0.72, accuracy = 86.7%) and the image model (AUC = 0.81, accuracy = 91.2%). Similarly, in the validation set, the integrated model (AUC = 0.84, accuracy = 93.8%) performed better than the clinical model (AUC = 0.65, accuracy = 65.6%) and the image model (AUC = 0.75, accuracy = 92.1%). Our deep-learning model based on pelvic MR can help predict the high-risk population with ≥ 3 linear stapler firings in laparoscopic LAR using DST anastomosis. This model might assist in determining preoperatively the anastomotic technique for mid–low rectal cancer patients.