Why Did Home Care Personal Support Service Volumes Drop During the COVID-19 Pandemic? The Contributions of Client Choice and Personal Support Worker Availability

Home care personal support service delivery decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic, and qualitative studies have suggested many potential contributors to these reductions. This paper provides insight into the source (client or provider) of reductions in home care service volumes early in the pandemic through analysis of a retrospective administrative dataset from a large provider organization. The percentage of authorized services not delivered was 17.2% in Wave 1, 12.6% in Wave 2 and 10.5% in Wave 3, nearing the pre-pandemic baseline of 8.9%. The dominant contribution to reduced home care service volumes was client-initiated holds and cancellations, collectively accounting for 99.3% of the service volume; missed care visits by the provider accounted for 0.7%. Worker availability also declined due to long-term absences (which increased 5-fold early in Wave 1 and remained 4× above baseline in Waves 2 and 3); short-term absences rose sharply for 6 early-pandemic weeks, then dropped below the pre-pandemic baseline. These data reveal that service volume reductions were primarily driven by client-initiated holds and cancellations; despite unprecedented decreases in Personal Support Worker availability, missed care did not increase, indicating that the decrease in demand was more substantial and occurred earlier than the decrease in worker availability.