How Might We Have Known? Using Administrative Data to Predict 30-Day Hospital Readmission in Clients Receiving Home Care Services from 2018 to 2021

BACKGROUND: Reducing hospital readmissions can improve individual health outcomes and lower system-level costs. This study aimed to understand the characteristics of home care Personal Support clients who experienced a hospital admission (ie, hospital hold) and to identify factors that predict hospital readmission within 30 days of resuming home care Personal Support services. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using client administrative data from a home healthcare provider organization (2018-2021). The sample included clients (⩾18 years) who received publicly funded Personal Support services and experienced a hospital hold. Descriptive statistics and a binary logistic regression model analyzed the relationship between demographics, hospital service utilization, home care service utilization, and contextual factors on the outcome of 30-day hospital readmission. RESULTS: Approximately 17% (n = 662) of all clients with a hospital hold (n = 3992) were readmitted to hospital within 30 days. Compared with non-readmitted clients, those with greater home care Personal Support service intensity after the index hospital hold were less likely to experience a hospital 30-day readmission. In contrast, those with greater acuity, higher assessed care needs, more hospital holds overall, more extended hospital stays (⩾2 weeks), and lower social support had a higher likelihood of 30-day hospital readmission. CONCLUSION: The findings from this study provide a greater understanding of factors associated with home care clients’ risk of hospital readmission within 30 days and can be used to inform targeted, evidence-based support to reduce home care clients’ hospital readmissions.