Monocyte to eosinophil ratio as a diagnostic biomarker for overlap syndrome and predictor of disease exacerbation

Objectives: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is one of the most common pulmonary diseases. The concomitant association of Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) and COPD is known as the Overlap Syndrome (OS). This study aimed to identify markers for predicting OS, among routine laboratory tests, including differential blood counts. Methods: One hundred twenty-five patients with exacerbated COPD were enrolled in the study and screened for OSA using the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS). Those with a positive ESS score underwent polysomnography (PSG) for confirmation. All patients were followed for 90 days to monitor for subsequent exacerbations. Results: Out of the 125 patients with exacerbated COPD, 25 were confirmed to have OSA. Those with OS had a significantly higher body mass index (BMI) (p < 0.001). The monocyte to eosinophil ratio (MER) was significantly higher in the OS group, while the neutrophil to monocyte (NMR) ratio and platelets to monocyte (PMR) ratio were significantly lower. Younger age, male sex, and higher body mass index (BMI) were all associated with OS. During the 90-day follow-up period after hospital discharge, 60% of patients with OS were re-admitted due to acute exacerbations. The hazard ratio for a second exacerbation increased by two-fold for every one-unit increase MER. The MER demonstrated excellent utility in predicting a second exacerbation, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 83% and a p-value of .005. Conclusion: The monocyte to eosinophil ratio (MER) was independent predictors of OS among exacerbated COPD patients and had a very good prognostic utility for predicting the next exacerbation episodes. Long term follow up is recommended to evaluate the severity of exacerbations and the effect of complications of OS on the morbidity and mortality of these patients.