Iodine-based dual-energy CT predicts early neurological decline from cerebral edema after large hemispheric infarction

BACKGROUND & PURPOSE: Ischemia affecting two thirds of the MCA territory predicts development of malignant cerebral edema. However, early infarcts are hard to diagnose on conventional head CT. We hypothesize that high-energy (190keV) virtual monochromatic images (VMI) from dual-energy CT (DECT) imaging enables earlier detection of secondary injury from malignant cerebral edema (MCE). METHODS: Consecutive LHI patients with NIHSS ≥ 15 and DECT within 10 hours of reperfusion from May 2020 to March 2022 were included. We excluded patients with parenchymal hematoma-type 2 transformation. Retrospective analysis of clinical and novel variables included VMI Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS), total iodine content, and VMI infarct volume. Primary outcome was early neurological decline (END). Secondary outcomes included hemorrhagic transformation, decompressive craniectomy (DC), and medical treatment of MCE. Fisher’s exact test and Wilcoxon test were used for univariate analysis. Logistic regression was used to develop prediction models for categorical outcomes. RESULTS: Eighty-four LHI patients with a median age of 67.5 [IQR 57,78] years and NIHSS 22 [IQR 18,25] were included. Twenty-nine patients had END. VMI ASPECTS, total iodine content, and VMI infarct volume were associated with END. VMI ASPECTS, VMI infarct volume, and total iodine content were predictors of END after adjusting for age, sex, initial NIHSS, and tPA administration, with a AUROC of 0.691 [0.572,0.810], 0.877 [0.800, 0.954], and 0.845 [0.750, 0.940]. By including all three predictors, the model achieved AUROC of 0.903 [0.84,0.97] and was cross validated by leave one out method with AUROC of 0.827. CONCLUSION: DECT with high-energy VMI and iodine quantification is superior to conventional CT ASPECTS and is a novel predictor for early neurological decline due to malignant cerebral edema after large hemispheric infarction.