The impact of diabetes and hypertension on renal allograft survival— A single center study

BACKGROUND: To determine the impact of pre-transplant diabetes mellitus (DM) and post-transplant hypertension (HT) at 1 year on renal allograft survival in all adult first kidney-only (FKO) transplant recipients at a single transplant center in Johannesburg, South Africa. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of all adult FKO transplant procedures at the Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital transplant unit between 1966 and 2013. RESULTS: During the stipulated timeframe, 1685 adult FKO transplant procedures were performed. Of these, 84.1% were from deceased donors (n = 1413/1685). The prevalence of pre-transplant DM transplant recipients with no missing or incomplete records was 6.5% (n = 107/1625). Of the total cohort of 1685 adult FKO transplant recipients, 63.6% of those with no missing data survived to 1 year (n = 1072/1685). The prevalence of HT at 1-year post-transplant was 53.6% (n = 503/1072). HT at 1-year post-transplant, even after adjusted survival analysis, proved a significant risk factor for renal allograft loss (hazard ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.37–1.94) (p < 0.0001). Similarly, after adjusted survival analysis, the risk of renal allograft loss within the pre-transplant DM group was significantly higher (p = 0.043; hazard ratio, 1.26; 95% confidence interval, 1.01–1.58). CONCLUSIONS: This study identified pre-transplantation diabetes mellitus and post-transplantation HT as significant risk factors for graft loss within the population assessed in this region of the world. These factors could potentially be used as independent predictors of renal graft survival.