Prediction of the 10-Year Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases Among Patients in Primary Health Care Centers in Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia

Background Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), primarily coronary artery disease (CAD) and stroke, stand as a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally. Our objective was to predict the 10-year risk of CVD in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia. Methods This cross-sectional study was conducted in eight randomly selected primary healthcare centers using cluster sampling based on geographical location in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province, specifically the Al-Ahsa region. The study aimed to assess the risk of developing CVD in the next 10 years among patients with at least one cardiovascular risk factor. Patients visiting the healthcare centers for checkups filled out the Framingham Cardiovascular Disease (10-year risk) score questionnaire. Results Of the 665 patients enrolled, 54.4% were female. The average age of the patients was 54.2 (SD 8.48) years. The overall average Framingham Risk Score (FRS) percentage was 19.2% (SD 15.4%). In terms of 10-year CVD risk, 34.6% of the patients were at high risk, 31.6% were at moderate risk, and 33.8% were considered low-risk individuals. Factors associated with a higher risk of CVD included older age, male gender, lower educational attainment, smoking, normal BMI, stage 2 hypertension, and diagnoses of hypertension, diabetes, and obesity. Conclusion Utilizing the FRS, it was determined that older men with lower educational levels had a higher 10-year risk of developing CVD. Furthermore, CVD risk factors such as diabetes, hypertension, obesity, and smoking were associated with individuals' CVD risk. Considering the ease of use and applicability of the FRS in daily clinical practice, as well as its potential to identify high-risk individuals, a more systematic implementation in general practice appears to be warranted.