Diagnostic value of a logistic model of occupational lead poisoning using hematological parameters

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the predictive value of a logistic model utilizing hematological parameters in diagnosing occupational lead poisoning. METHODS: This retrospective study (September 2020–December 2022) included patients with occupational lead poisoning. Differences in hematological parameters were compared between individuals with occupational blood lead poisoning and healthy individuals. We used logistic regression analysis to develop a diagnostic prediction model for occupational blood lead poisoning. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and corresponding area under the ROC curve values were used to assess the diagnostic value of hematological parameters and logistic models. RESULTS: Compared with controls, several indicators were significantly higher in the group with blood lead poisoning, but others were significantly lower. Logistic regression analysis showed that the red blood cell distribution width coefficient of variation (RDW-CV), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and percentage of small red blood cells (Micro%) were independent factors in diagnosing occupational blood lead poisoning. The logistic regression model constructed based on these three parameters had sensitivity 78.7% and specificity 83.8% for diagnosing occupational lead poisoning. CONCLUSION: We identified RDW-CV, NLR, and Micro% as independent predictors in the diagnosis of occupational lead poisoning. A logistic regression model that includes these may contribute to better detection of occupational lead poisoning.