Changes in serial multiparametric MRI and FDG-PET/CT functional imaging during radiation therapy can predict treatment response in patients with head and neck cancer

OBJECTIVES: To test if tumour changes measured using combination of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) MRI and FDG-PET/CT performed serially during radiotherapy (RT) in mucosal head and neck carcinoma can predict treatment response. METHODS: Fifty-five patients from two prospective imaging biomarker studies were analysed. FDG-PET/CT was performed at baseline, during RT (week 3), and post RT (3 months). DWI was performed at baseline, during RT (weeks 2, 3, 5, 6), and post RT (1 and 3 months). The ADC(mean) from DWI and FDG-PET parameters SUV(max), SUV(mean), metabolic tumour volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were measured. Absolute and relative change (%∆) in DWI and PET parameters were correlated to 1-year local recurrence. Patients were categorised into favourable, mixed, and unfavourable imaging response using optimal cut-off (OC) values of DWI and FDG-PET parameters and correlated to local control. RESULTS: The 1-year local, regional, and distant recurrence rates were 18.2% (10/55), 7.3% (4/55), and 12.7% (7/55), respectively. ∆Week 3 ADC(mean) (AUC 0.825, p = 0.003; OC ∆ > 24.4%) and ∆MTV (AUC 0.833, p = 0.001; OC ∆ > 50.4%) were the best predictors of local recurrence. Week 3 was the optimal time point for assessing DWI imaging response. Using a combination of ∆ADC(mean) and ∆MTV improved the strength of correlation to local recurrence (p ≤ 0.001). In patients who underwent both week 3 MRI and FDG-PET/CT, significant differences in local recurrence rates were seen between patients with favourable (0%), mixed (17%), and unfavourable (78%) combined imaging response. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in mid-treatment DWI and FDG-PET/CT imaging can predict treatment response and could be utilised in the design of future adaptive clinical trials. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Our study shows the complementary information provided by two functional imaging modalities for mid-treatment response prediction in patients with head and neck cancer. KEY POINTS: •FDG-PET/CT and DWI MRI changes in tumour during radiotherapy in head and neck cancer can predict treatment response. •Combination of FDG-PET/CT and DWI parameters improved correlation to clinical outcome. •Week 3 was the optimal time point for DWI MRI imaging response assessment. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00330-023-09843-2.