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Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

(1) Background: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is time-sensitive. The accurate identification of the infarct core and penumbra areas in AIS patients is an important basis for formulating treatment plans, and is the key to dual-layer spectral detector computed tomography angiography (DLCTA), a safer and...

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Autores principales: Gu, Yan, Shi, Dai, Shen, Hao, Wang, Yeqing, Xu, Dandan, Xiao, Aoqi, Jin, Dan, Lu, Kuan, Cai, Wu, Xu, Liang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10670594/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37998572
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics13223434
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author Gu, Yan
Shi, Dai
Shen, Hao
Wang, Yeqing
Xu, Dandan
Xiao, Aoqi
Jin, Dan
Lu, Kuan
Cai, Wu
Xu, Liang
author_facet Gu, Yan
Shi, Dai
Shen, Hao
Wang, Yeqing
Xu, Dandan
Xiao, Aoqi
Jin, Dan
Lu, Kuan
Cai, Wu
Xu, Liang
author_sort Gu, Yan
collection PubMed
description (1) Background: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is time-sensitive. The accurate identification of the infarct core and penumbra areas in AIS patients is an important basis for formulating treatment plans, and is the key to dual-layer spectral detector computed tomography angiography (DLCTA), a safer and more accurate diagnostic method for AIS that will replace computed tomography perfusion (CTP) in the future. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the value of DLCTA in differentiating infarct core from penumbra in patients with AIS to establish a nomogram combined with spectral computed tomography (CT) parameters for predicting the infarct core and performing multi-angle evaluation. (2) Methods: Data for 102 patients with AIS were retrospectively collected. All patients underwent DLCTA and CTP. The patients were divided into the non-infarct core group and the infarct core group, using CTP as the reference. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen predictors related to the infarct core and establish a nomogram model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy, accuracy, and clinical practicability of the model, respectively. (3) Results: Multivariate logistic analysis identified three independent predictors: iodine density (OR: 0.022, 95% CI: 0.003–0.170, p < 0.001), hypertension (OR: 7.179, 95% CI: 1.766–29.186, p = 0.006), and triglycerides (OR: 0.255, 95% CI: 0.109–0.594, p = 0.002). The AUC–ROC of the nomogram was 0.913. Calibration was good. Decision curve analysis was clinically useful. (4) Conclusions: The spectral CT parameters, specifically iodine density values, effectively differentiate between the infarct core and penumbra areas in patients with AIS. The nomogram, based on iodine density values, showed strong predictive power, discrimination, and clinical utility to accurately predict infarct core in AIS patients.
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spelling pubmed-106705942023-11-13 Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke Gu, Yan Shi, Dai Shen, Hao Wang, Yeqing Xu, Dandan Xiao, Aoqi Jin, Dan Lu, Kuan Cai, Wu Xu, Liang Diagnostics (Basel) Article (1) Background: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is time-sensitive. The accurate identification of the infarct core and penumbra areas in AIS patients is an important basis for formulating treatment plans, and is the key to dual-layer spectral detector computed tomography angiography (DLCTA), a safer and more accurate diagnostic method for AIS that will replace computed tomography perfusion (CTP) in the future. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the value of DLCTA in differentiating infarct core from penumbra in patients with AIS to establish a nomogram combined with spectral computed tomography (CT) parameters for predicting the infarct core and performing multi-angle evaluation. (2) Methods: Data for 102 patients with AIS were retrospectively collected. All patients underwent DLCTA and CTP. The patients were divided into the non-infarct core group and the infarct core group, using CTP as the reference. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen predictors related to the infarct core and establish a nomogram model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy, accuracy, and clinical practicability of the model, respectively. (3) Results: Multivariate logistic analysis identified three independent predictors: iodine density (OR: 0.022, 95% CI: 0.003–0.170, p < 0.001), hypertension (OR: 7.179, 95% CI: 1.766–29.186, p = 0.006), and triglycerides (OR: 0.255, 95% CI: 0.109–0.594, p = 0.002). The AUC–ROC of the nomogram was 0.913. Calibration was good. Decision curve analysis was clinically useful. (4) Conclusions: The spectral CT parameters, specifically iodine density values, effectively differentiate between the infarct core and penumbra areas in patients with AIS. The nomogram, based on iodine density values, showed strong predictive power, discrimination, and clinical utility to accurately predict infarct core in AIS patients. MDPI 2023-11-13 /pmc/articles/PMC10670594/ /pubmed/37998572 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics13223434 Text en © 2023 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Gu, Yan
Shi, Dai
Shen, Hao
Wang, Yeqing
Xu, Dandan
Xiao, Aoqi
Jin, Dan
Lu, Kuan
Cai, Wu
Xu, Liang
Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke
title Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_full Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_fullStr Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_full_unstemmed Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_short Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_sort nomogram based on dual-layer spectral detector cta parameter for the prediction of infarct core in patients with acute ischemic stroke
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10670594/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37998572
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics13223434
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