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1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19
BACKGROUND: Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) has been reported to be associated with prognosis in patients with COVID-19. However, there is limited data on the correlation between COVID-19 prognosis and varying KL-6 levels at different time points. We investigated the optimal cutoff values of both init...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Oxford University Press
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10676839/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.1194 |
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author | Kim, Geonui Kwon, Hyeonwoo Ra, Sang Hyun Chang, Eui Jin Bae, Seongman Jung, Jiwon Kim, Min Jae Chong, Yong Pil Lee, Sang-Oh Choi, Sang-Ho Kim, Yang Soo Kim, Sung-Han |
author_facet | Kim, Geonui Kwon, Hyeonwoo Ra, Sang Hyun Chang, Eui Jin Bae, Seongman Jung, Jiwon Kim, Min Jae Chong, Yong Pil Lee, Sang-Oh Choi, Sang-Ho Kim, Yang Soo Kim, Sung-Han |
author_sort | Kim, Geonui |
collection | PubMed |
description | BACKGROUND: Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) has been reported to be associated with prognosis in patients with COVID-19. However, there is limited data on the correlation between COVID-19 prognosis and varying KL-6 levels at different time points. We investigated the optimal cutoff values of both initial and peak serum KL-6 levels in order to predict mortality, and also examined their correlation with mortality within 30 days. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, data on serially collected serum KL-6 levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between December 2020 and January 2022 at a single tertiary hospital in South Korea were collected. The area under the ROC curve and Youden index were used to determine the cutoff points for the initial and peak KL-6 levels that best predicted 30-day mortality. The association between both initial and peak KL-6 values with 30-day mortality were assessed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression model. [Figure: see text] RESULTS: A total of 349 patients were included, and among them, 27 individuals died within 30 days, resulting in a mortality rate of 7.7%. The mean initial and peak KL-6 levels were significantly higher in the non-survivor group compared to the survivor group (898.5 vs. 448.1, p=0.006; 1289.0 vs. 687.3, p=0.003, respectively). The initial and peak KL-6 values that best predicted 30-day mortality were 491.85 U/mL (sensitivity 72.7%, specificity 74.1%, area under curve [AUC] 0.748) and 660.05 U/mL (sensitivity 63.0%, specificity 81.5%, AUC 0.744), respectively. Initial KL-6 greater than 491.85 U/mL (odds ratio [OR], 7.60; 95% CI, 3.10 to 18.59) and a peak KL-6 greater than 660.05 U/mL (OR 7.55; 95% CI 2.56 to 22.26) were found to be significantly associated with 30-day mortality, independent of age, solid cancer, and elevated serum C-reactive protein ( > 7.5 mg/dL). [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] CONCLUSION: We found that both initial and peak levels of KL-6 were significantly related to 30-day mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. These findings suggest that serially monitoring blood KL-6 levels could serve as a valuable prognostic indicator for COVID-19. DISCLOSURES: All Authors: No reported disclosures |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10676839 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Oxford University Press |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-106768392023-11-27 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 Kim, Geonui Kwon, Hyeonwoo Ra, Sang Hyun Chang, Eui Jin Bae, Seongman Jung, Jiwon Kim, Min Jae Chong, Yong Pil Lee, Sang-Oh Choi, Sang-Ho Kim, Yang Soo Kim, Sung-Han Open Forum Infect Dis Abstract BACKGROUND: Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) has been reported to be associated with prognosis in patients with COVID-19. However, there is limited data on the correlation between COVID-19 prognosis and varying KL-6 levels at different time points. We investigated the optimal cutoff values of both initial and peak serum KL-6 levels in order to predict mortality, and also examined their correlation with mortality within 30 days. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, data on serially collected serum KL-6 levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between December 2020 and January 2022 at a single tertiary hospital in South Korea were collected. The area under the ROC curve and Youden index were used to determine the cutoff points for the initial and peak KL-6 levels that best predicted 30-day mortality. The association between both initial and peak KL-6 values with 30-day mortality were assessed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression model. [Figure: see text] RESULTS: A total of 349 patients were included, and among them, 27 individuals died within 30 days, resulting in a mortality rate of 7.7%. The mean initial and peak KL-6 levels were significantly higher in the non-survivor group compared to the survivor group (898.5 vs. 448.1, p=0.006; 1289.0 vs. 687.3, p=0.003, respectively). The initial and peak KL-6 values that best predicted 30-day mortality were 491.85 U/mL (sensitivity 72.7%, specificity 74.1%, area under curve [AUC] 0.748) and 660.05 U/mL (sensitivity 63.0%, specificity 81.5%, AUC 0.744), respectively. Initial KL-6 greater than 491.85 U/mL (odds ratio [OR], 7.60; 95% CI, 3.10 to 18.59) and a peak KL-6 greater than 660.05 U/mL (OR 7.55; 95% CI 2.56 to 22.26) were found to be significantly associated with 30-day mortality, independent of age, solid cancer, and elevated serum C-reactive protein ( > 7.5 mg/dL). [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] CONCLUSION: We found that both initial and peak levels of KL-6 were significantly related to 30-day mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. These findings suggest that serially monitoring blood KL-6 levels could serve as a valuable prognostic indicator for COVID-19. DISCLOSURES: All Authors: No reported disclosures Oxford University Press 2023-11-27 /pmc/articles/PMC10676839/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.1194 Text en © The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Abstract Kim, Geonui Kwon, Hyeonwoo Ra, Sang Hyun Chang, Eui Jin Bae, Seongman Jung, Jiwon Kim, Min Jae Chong, Yong Pil Lee, Sang-Oh Choi, Sang-Ho Kim, Yang Soo Kim, Sung-Han 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 |
title | 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 |
title_full | 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 |
title_fullStr | 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 |
title_full_unstemmed | 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 |
title_short | 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 |
title_sort | 1357. initial and peak serum levels of krebs von den lungen-6 for prediction of prognosis in patients with covid-19 |
topic | Abstract |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10676839/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.1194 |
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