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1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19

BACKGROUND: Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) has been reported to be associated with prognosis in patients with COVID-19. However, there is limited data on the correlation between COVID-19 prognosis and varying KL-6 levels at different time points. We investigated the optimal cutoff values of both init...

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Autores principales: Kim, Geonui, Kwon, Hyeonwoo, Ra, Sang Hyun, Chang, Eui Jin, Bae, Seongman, Jung, Jiwon, Kim, Min Jae, Chong, Yong Pil, Lee, Sang-Oh, Choi, Sang-Ho, Kim, Yang Soo, Kim, Sung-Han
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Oxford University Press 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10676839/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.1194
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author Kim, Geonui
Kwon, Hyeonwoo
Ra, Sang Hyun
Chang, Eui Jin
Bae, Seongman
Jung, Jiwon
Kim, Min Jae
Chong, Yong Pil
Lee, Sang-Oh
Choi, Sang-Ho
Kim, Yang Soo
Kim, Sung-Han
author_facet Kim, Geonui
Kwon, Hyeonwoo
Ra, Sang Hyun
Chang, Eui Jin
Bae, Seongman
Jung, Jiwon
Kim, Min Jae
Chong, Yong Pil
Lee, Sang-Oh
Choi, Sang-Ho
Kim, Yang Soo
Kim, Sung-Han
author_sort Kim, Geonui
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) has been reported to be associated with prognosis in patients with COVID-19. However, there is limited data on the correlation between COVID-19 prognosis and varying KL-6 levels at different time points. We investigated the optimal cutoff values of both initial and peak serum KL-6 levels in order to predict mortality, and also examined their correlation with mortality within 30 days. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, data on serially collected serum KL-6 levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between December 2020 and January 2022 at a single tertiary hospital in South Korea were collected. The area under the ROC curve and Youden index were used to determine the cutoff points for the initial and peak KL-6 levels that best predicted 30-day mortality. The association between both initial and peak KL-6 values with 30-day mortality were assessed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression model. [Figure: see text] RESULTS: A total of 349 patients were included, and among them, 27 individuals died within 30 days, resulting in a mortality rate of 7.7%. The mean initial and peak KL-6 levels were significantly higher in the non-survivor group compared to the survivor group (898.5 vs. 448.1, p=0.006; 1289.0 vs. 687.3, p=0.003, respectively). The initial and peak KL-6 values that best predicted 30-day mortality were 491.85 U/mL (sensitivity 72.7%, specificity 74.1%, area under curve [AUC] 0.748) and 660.05 U/mL (sensitivity 63.0%, specificity 81.5%, AUC 0.744), respectively. Initial KL-6 greater than 491.85 U/mL (odds ratio [OR], 7.60; 95% CI, 3.10 to 18.59) and a peak KL-6 greater than 660.05 U/mL (OR 7.55; 95% CI 2.56 to 22.26) were found to be significantly associated with 30-day mortality, independent of age, solid cancer, and elevated serum C-reactive protein ( > 7.5 mg/dL). [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] CONCLUSION: We found that both initial and peak levels of KL-6 were significantly related to 30-day mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. These findings suggest that serially monitoring blood KL-6 levels could serve as a valuable prognostic indicator for COVID-19. DISCLOSURES: All Authors: No reported disclosures
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spelling pubmed-106768392023-11-27 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19 Kim, Geonui Kwon, Hyeonwoo Ra, Sang Hyun Chang, Eui Jin Bae, Seongman Jung, Jiwon Kim, Min Jae Chong, Yong Pil Lee, Sang-Oh Choi, Sang-Ho Kim, Yang Soo Kim, Sung-Han Open Forum Infect Dis Abstract BACKGROUND: Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) has been reported to be associated with prognosis in patients with COVID-19. However, there is limited data on the correlation between COVID-19 prognosis and varying KL-6 levels at different time points. We investigated the optimal cutoff values of both initial and peak serum KL-6 levels in order to predict mortality, and also examined their correlation with mortality within 30 days. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, data on serially collected serum KL-6 levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between December 2020 and January 2022 at a single tertiary hospital in South Korea were collected. The area under the ROC curve and Youden index were used to determine the cutoff points for the initial and peak KL-6 levels that best predicted 30-day mortality. The association between both initial and peak KL-6 values with 30-day mortality were assessed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression model. [Figure: see text] RESULTS: A total of 349 patients were included, and among them, 27 individuals died within 30 days, resulting in a mortality rate of 7.7%. The mean initial and peak KL-6 levels were significantly higher in the non-survivor group compared to the survivor group (898.5 vs. 448.1, p=0.006; 1289.0 vs. 687.3, p=0.003, respectively). The initial and peak KL-6 values that best predicted 30-day mortality were 491.85 U/mL (sensitivity 72.7%, specificity 74.1%, area under curve [AUC] 0.748) and 660.05 U/mL (sensitivity 63.0%, specificity 81.5%, AUC 0.744), respectively. Initial KL-6 greater than 491.85 U/mL (odds ratio [OR], 7.60; 95% CI, 3.10 to 18.59) and a peak KL-6 greater than 660.05 U/mL (OR 7.55; 95% CI 2.56 to 22.26) were found to be significantly associated with 30-day mortality, independent of age, solid cancer, and elevated serum C-reactive protein ( > 7.5 mg/dL). [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] [Figure: see text] CONCLUSION: We found that both initial and peak levels of KL-6 were significantly related to 30-day mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. These findings suggest that serially monitoring blood KL-6 levels could serve as a valuable prognostic indicator for COVID-19. DISCLOSURES: All Authors: No reported disclosures Oxford University Press 2023-11-27 /pmc/articles/PMC10676839/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.1194 Text en © The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Abstract
Kim, Geonui
Kwon, Hyeonwoo
Ra, Sang Hyun
Chang, Eui Jin
Bae, Seongman
Jung, Jiwon
Kim, Min Jae
Chong, Yong Pil
Lee, Sang-Oh
Choi, Sang-Ho
Kim, Yang Soo
Kim, Sung-Han
1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19
title 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19
title_full 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19
title_fullStr 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19
title_short 1357. Initial and Peak Serum Levels of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19
title_sort 1357. initial and peak serum levels of krebs von den lungen-6 for prediction of prognosis in patients with covid-19
topic Abstract
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10676839/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.1194
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