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Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019
Influenza is an acute respiratory infectious disease that commonly affects people and has an important impact on public health. Based on influenza incidence data from 103 counties in Hubei Province from 2009 to 2019, this study used time series analysis and geospatial analysis to analyze the spatial...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10681244/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38011126 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280617 |
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author | Yang, Mengmeng Gong, Shengsheng Huang, Shuqiong Huo, Xixiang Wang, Wuwei |
author_facet | Yang, Mengmeng Gong, Shengsheng Huang, Shuqiong Huo, Xixiang Wang, Wuwei |
author_sort | Yang, Mengmeng |
collection | PubMed |
description | Influenza is an acute respiratory infectious disease that commonly affects people and has an important impact on public health. Based on influenza incidence data from 103 counties in Hubei Province from 2009 to 2019, this study used time series analysis and geospatial analysis to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the influenza epidemic and its influencing factors. The results reveal significant spatial-temporal clustering of the influenza epidemic in Hubei Province. Influenza mainly occurs in winter and spring of each year (from December to March of the next year), with the highest incidence rate observed in 2019 and an overall upward trend in recent years. There were significant spatial and urban-rural differences in influenza prevalence in Hubei Province, with the eastern region being more seriously affected than the central and western regions, and the urban regions more seriously affected than the rural region. Hubei’s influenza epidemic showed an obvious spatial agglomeration distribution from 2009 to 2019, with the strongest clustering in winter. The hot spot areas of interannual variation in influenza were mainly distributed in eastern and western Hubei, and the cold spot areas were distributed in north-central Hubei. In addition, the cold hot spot areas of influenza epidemics varied from season to season. The seasonal changes in influenza prevalence in Hubei Province are mainly governed by meteorological factors, such as temperature, sunshine, precipitation, humidity, and wind speed. Low temperature, less rain, less sunshine, low wind speed and humid weather will increase the risk of contracting influenza; the interannual changes and spatial differentiation of influenza are mainly influenced by socioeconomic factors, such as road density, number of health technicians per 1,000 population, urbanization rate and population density. The strength of influenza’s influencing factors in Hubei Province exhibits significant spatial variation, but in general, the formation of spatial variation of influenza in Hubei Province is still the result of the joint action of socioeconomic factors and natural meteorological factors. Understanding the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of influenza in Hubei Province and its influencing factors can provide a reasonable decision-making basis for influenza prevention and control and public health development in Hubei Province and can also effectively improve the scientific understanding of the public with respect to influenza and other respiratory infectious diseases to reduce the influenza incidence, which also has reference significance for the prevention and control of influenza and other respiratory infectious diseases in other countries or regions. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10681244 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-106812442023-11-27 Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019 Yang, Mengmeng Gong, Shengsheng Huang, Shuqiong Huo, Xixiang Wang, Wuwei PLoS One Research Article Influenza is an acute respiratory infectious disease that commonly affects people and has an important impact on public health. Based on influenza incidence data from 103 counties in Hubei Province from 2009 to 2019, this study used time series analysis and geospatial analysis to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the influenza epidemic and its influencing factors. The results reveal significant spatial-temporal clustering of the influenza epidemic in Hubei Province. Influenza mainly occurs in winter and spring of each year (from December to March of the next year), with the highest incidence rate observed in 2019 and an overall upward trend in recent years. There were significant spatial and urban-rural differences in influenza prevalence in Hubei Province, with the eastern region being more seriously affected than the central and western regions, and the urban regions more seriously affected than the rural region. Hubei’s influenza epidemic showed an obvious spatial agglomeration distribution from 2009 to 2019, with the strongest clustering in winter. The hot spot areas of interannual variation in influenza were mainly distributed in eastern and western Hubei, and the cold spot areas were distributed in north-central Hubei. In addition, the cold hot spot areas of influenza epidemics varied from season to season. The seasonal changes in influenza prevalence in Hubei Province are mainly governed by meteorological factors, such as temperature, sunshine, precipitation, humidity, and wind speed. Low temperature, less rain, less sunshine, low wind speed and humid weather will increase the risk of contracting influenza; the interannual changes and spatial differentiation of influenza are mainly influenced by socioeconomic factors, such as road density, number of health technicians per 1,000 population, urbanization rate and population density. The strength of influenza’s influencing factors in Hubei Province exhibits significant spatial variation, but in general, the formation of spatial variation of influenza in Hubei Province is still the result of the joint action of socioeconomic factors and natural meteorological factors. Understanding the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of influenza in Hubei Province and its influencing factors can provide a reasonable decision-making basis for influenza prevention and control and public health development in Hubei Province and can also effectively improve the scientific understanding of the public with respect to influenza and other respiratory infectious diseases to reduce the influenza incidence, which also has reference significance for the prevention and control of influenza and other respiratory infectious diseases in other countries or regions. Public Library of Science 2023-11-27 /pmc/articles/PMC10681244/ /pubmed/38011126 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280617 Text en © 2023 Yang et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Yang, Mengmeng Gong, Shengsheng Huang, Shuqiong Huo, Xixiang Wang, Wuwei Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019 |
title | Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019 |
title_full | Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019 |
title_fullStr | Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019 |
title_full_unstemmed | Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019 |
title_short | Geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in Hubei, China, from 2009 to 2019 |
title_sort | geographical characteristics and influencing factors of the influenza epidemic in hubei, china, from 2009 to 2019 |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10681244/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38011126 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280617 |
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