Quantitative CT parameters combined with preoperative systemic inflammatory markers for differentiating risk subgroups of thymic epithelial tumors

BACKGROUND: Thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) are the most common primary neoplasms of the anterior mediastinum. Different risk subgroups of TETs have different prognosis and therapeutic strategies, therefore, preoperative identification of different risk subgroups is of high clinical significance. This study aims to explore the diagnostic efficiency of quantitative computed tomography (CT) parameters combined with preoperative systemic inflammatory markers in differentiating low-risk thymic epithelial tumors (LTETs) from high-risk thymic epithelial tumors (HTETs). METHODS: 74 Asian patients with TETs confirmed by biopsy or postoperative pathology between January 2013 and October 2022 were collected retrospectively and divided into two risk subgroups: LTET group (type A, AB and B1 thymomas) and HTET group (type B2, B3 thymomas and thymic carcinoma). Statistical analysis were performed between the two groups in terms of quantitative CT parameters and preoperative systemic inflammatory markers. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent predictors of risk subgroups of TETs. The area under curve (AUC) and optimal cut-off values were calculated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: 47 TETs were in LTET group, while 27 TETs were in HTET group. In addition to tumor size and CT value of the tumor on plain scan, there were statistical significance comparing in CT value of the tumor on arterial phase (CTv-AP) and venous phase (CTv-VP), and maximum enhanced CT value (CE(max)) of the tumor between the two groups (for all, P < 0.05). For systemic inflammatory markers, HTET group was significantly higher than LTET group (for all, P < 0.05), including platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR (odds ratio [OR] = 2.511, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.322–4.772, P = 0.005), CTv-AP (OR = 0.939, 95%CI: 0.888–0.994, P = 0.031) and CTv-VP (OR = 0.923, 95%CI: 0.871–0.979, P = 0.008) were the independent predictors of risk subgroups of TETs. The AUC value of 0.887 for the combined model was significantly higher than NLR (0.698), CTv-AP (0.800) or CTv-VP (0.811) alone. The optimal cut-off values for NLR, CTv-AP and CTv-VP were 2.523, 63.44 Hounsfeld Unit (HU) and 88.29HU, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative CT parameters and preoperative systemic inflammatory markers can differentiate LTETs from HTETs, and the combined model has the potential to improve diagnostic efficiency and to help the patient management.