Cytokeratin 7 Expression and Mismatch Repair Status for Survival Prediction in Patients With Low Rectal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Therapy

BACKGROUND: More than half of the patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer exhibit no or minor response to nCRT. It is important to investigate the predictive and prognostic values of potential biomarkers in patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer receiving nCRT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included 162 patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer who underwent nCRT, followed by total mesorectal excision (TME) between 2016 and 2019. Cytokeratin 7 (CK7) expression and mismatch repair (MMR) status were determined by immunohistochemistry (IHC). Categorical variables were compared using the chi-square test. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) curves were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier and Cox methods. RESULTS: There were predominance significant differences in distance from anus margin (P < .0001) and circumferential extent of the tumor (P < .0001).CK7 positive expression was detected in 21 of the 162 patients (13%). The univariate and multivariate analysis revealed that patients whose tumors had CK7 positive expression had significantly shorter OS (HR = 3.878, P = .038; HR = 1.677, P = .035) and DFS (HR = 3.055, P = .027;HR = 3.569, P = .038) than those with CK7 negative expression. While patients with CK7 positive expression had a higher proportion of worse TRG compared with CK7 negative patients (P = .001). Patients with deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) just occupied a small proportion (8.6%), but there was still a close connection between the MMR status and recurrence after TME (P = .045). MMR status was an independent risk factor affecting the OS (HR = .307, P < .0001; HR = .123, P < .0001) and DFS (HR = .288, P < .0001; HR = .286, P < .0001) by univariate and multivariate analysis. But no significant difference in the proportion of TRG was observed between patients with dMMR and pMMR (P = .920). CONCLUSIONS: The result confirms negative prognostic role of CK7-positive and dMMR statuses, which have potential predictive value for neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy response. This provides opportunity to modify individualized treatment strategies for patients with different CK7 expression levels and dMMR statuses.