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Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India

India is the second-highest contributor to the post-2000 global greening. However, with satellite data, here we show that this 18.51% increase in Leaf Area Index (LAI) during 2001–2019 fails to translate into increased carbon uptake due to warming constraints. Our analysis further shows 6.19% decrea...

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Autores principales: Das, Ripan, Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar, Roy, Adrija, Karmakar, Subhankar, Ghosh, Subimal
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10693629/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38042916
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-48614-3
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author Das, Ripan
Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar
Roy, Adrija
Karmakar, Subhankar
Ghosh, Subimal
author_facet Das, Ripan
Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar
Roy, Adrija
Karmakar, Subhankar
Ghosh, Subimal
author_sort Das, Ripan
collection PubMed
description India is the second-highest contributor to the post-2000 global greening. However, with satellite data, here we show that this 18.51% increase in Leaf Area Index (LAI) during 2001–2019 fails to translate into increased carbon uptake due to warming constraints. Our analysis further shows 6.19% decrease in Net Primary Productivity (NPP) during 2001–2019 over the temporally consistent forests in India despite 6.75% increase in LAI. We identify hotspots of statistically significant decreasing trends in NPP over the key forested regions of Northeast India, Peninsular India, and the Western Ghats. Together, these areas contribute to more than 31% of the NPP of India (1274.8 TgC.year(−1)). These three regions are also the warming hotspots in India. Granger Causality analysis confirms that temperature causes the changes in net-photosynthesis of vegetation. Decreasing photosynthesis and stable respiration, above a threshold temperature, over these regions, as seen in observations, are the key reasons behind the declining NPP. Our analysis shows that warming has already started affecting carbon uptake in Indian forests and calls for improved climate resilient forest management practices in a warming world.
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spelling pubmed-106936292023-12-04 Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India Das, Ripan Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar Roy, Adrija Karmakar, Subhankar Ghosh, Subimal Sci Rep Article India is the second-highest contributor to the post-2000 global greening. However, with satellite data, here we show that this 18.51% increase in Leaf Area Index (LAI) during 2001–2019 fails to translate into increased carbon uptake due to warming constraints. Our analysis further shows 6.19% decrease in Net Primary Productivity (NPP) during 2001–2019 over the temporally consistent forests in India despite 6.75% increase in LAI. We identify hotspots of statistically significant decreasing trends in NPP over the key forested regions of Northeast India, Peninsular India, and the Western Ghats. Together, these areas contribute to more than 31% of the NPP of India (1274.8 TgC.year(−1)). These three regions are also the warming hotspots in India. Granger Causality analysis confirms that temperature causes the changes in net-photosynthesis of vegetation. Decreasing photosynthesis and stable respiration, above a threshold temperature, over these regions, as seen in observations, are the key reasons behind the declining NPP. Our analysis shows that warming has already started affecting carbon uptake in Indian forests and calls for improved climate resilient forest management practices in a warming world. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-12-03 /pmc/articles/PMC10693629/ /pubmed/38042916 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-48614-3 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Das, Ripan
Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar
Roy, Adrija
Karmakar, Subhankar
Ghosh, Subimal
Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India
title Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India
title_full Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India
title_fullStr Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India
title_full_unstemmed Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India
title_short Warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in India
title_sort warming inhibits increases in vegetation net primary productivity despite greening in india
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10693629/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38042916
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-48614-3
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