Prognostic value of capillary refill time in adult patients: a systematic review with meta-analysis

PURPOSE: Acute circulatory failure leads to tissue hypoperfusion. Capillary refill time (CRT) has been widely studied, but its predictive value remains debated. We conducted a meta-analysis to assess the ability of CRT to predict death or adverse events in a context at risk or confirmed acute circulatory failure in adults. METHOD: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Google scholar databases were screened for relevant studies. The pooled area under the ROC curve (AUC ROC), sensitivity, specificity, threshold, and diagnostic odds ratio using a random-effects model were determined. The primary analysis was the ability of abnormal CRT to predict death in patients with acute circulatory failure. Secondary analysis included the ability of CRT to predict death or adverse events in patients at risk or with confirmed acute circulatory failure, the comparison with lactate, and the identification of explanatory factors associated with better accuracy. RESULTS: A total of 60,656 patients in 23 studies were included. Concerning the primary analysis, the pooled AUC ROC of 13 studies was 0.66 (95%CI [0.59; 0.76]), and pooled sensitivity was 54% (95%CI [43; 64]). The pooled specificity was 72% (95%CI [55; 84]). The pooled diagnostic odds ratio was 3.4 (95%CI [1.4; 8.3]). Concerning the secondary analysis, the pooled AUC ROC of 23 studies was 0.69 (95%CI [0.65; 0.74]). The prognostic value of CRT compared to lactate was not significantly different. High-quality CRT was associated with a greater accuracy. CONCLUSION: CRT poorly predicted death and adverse events in patients at risk or established acute circulatory failure. Its accuracy is greater when high-quality CRT measurement is performed. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-023-04751-9.