Construction and validation of a personalized prediction model for postpartum anxiety in pregnant women with preeclampsia

BACKGROUND: Preeclampsia is a pregnancy-specific multi-system disease with multi-factor and multi-mechanism characteristics. The cure for preeclampsia is to terminate the pregnancy and deliver the placenta. However, it will reduce the perinatal survival rate, prolong the pregnancy cycle, and increase the incidence of maternal complications. With relaxation of the birth policy, the number of elderly pregnant women has increased significantly, and the prevalence rate of preeclampsia has increased. Inappropriate treatment can seriously affect the normal postpartum life of pregnant women. Studies have shown that postpartum anxiety in women with preeclampsia can affect physical and mental health, as well as infant growth and development. AIM: To analyze the factors influencing preeclampsia in pregnant women complicated with postpartum anxiety, and to construct a personalized predictive model. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 528 pregnant women with preeclampsia who delivered in Wenzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine between January 2018 and December 2021. Their basic data were collected, and various physiological and biochemical indicators were obtained by laboratory examination. The self-rating anxiety scale was used to determine whether the women had postpartum anxiety 42 d after delivery. The independent factors influencing postpartum anxiety in early pregnant women with eclampsia were analyzed with multifactor logistic regression and a predictive model was constructed. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to evaluate the calibration and discrimination of the predictive model. Eighty pregnant women with preeclampsia admitted to our hospital from January 2022 to May 2022 were retrospectively selected to verify the prediction model. RESULTS: We excluded 46 of the 528 pregnant women with preeclampsia because of loss to follow-up and adverse outcomes. A total of 482 cases completed the assessment of postpartum anxiety 42 d after delivery, and 126 (26.14%) had postpartum anxiety. Bad marital relationship, gender discrimination in family members, hematocrit (Hct), estradiol (E2) hormone and interleukin (IL)-6 were independent risk factors for postpartum anxiety in pregnant women with preeclampsia (P < 0.05). Prediction model: Logit (P) = 0.880 × marital relationship + 0.870 × gender discrimination of family members + 0.130 × Hct - 0.044 × E2 + 0.286 × IL-6 - 21.420. The area under the ROC curve of the model was 0.943 (95% confidence interval: 0.919-0.966). The threshold of the model was -1.507 according to the maximum Youden index (0.757), the corresponding sensitivity was 84.90%, and the specificity was 90.70%. Hosmer-Lemeshow χ(2) = 5.900, P = 0.658. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of the model were 81.82%, 84.48% and 83.75%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Poor marital relationship, family gender discrimination, Hct, IL-6 and E2 are the influencing factors of postpartum anxiety in preeclampsia women. The constructed prediction model has high sensitivity and specificity.