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Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?

BACKGROUND: Readers may question the interpretation of findings in clinical trials when multiple outcome measures are used without adjustment of the p-value. This question arises because of the increased risk of Type I errors (findings of false "significance") when multiple simultaneous hy...

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Autor principal: Feise, Ronald J
Formato: Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2002
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC117123/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12069695
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2288-2-8
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author Feise, Ronald J
author_facet Feise, Ronald J
author_sort Feise, Ronald J
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Readers may question the interpretation of findings in clinical trials when multiple outcome measures are used without adjustment of the p-value. This question arises because of the increased risk of Type I errors (findings of false "significance") when multiple simultaneous hypotheses are tested at set p-values. The primary aim of this study was to estimate the need to make appropriate p-value adjustments in clinical trials to compensate for a possible increased risk in committing Type I errors when multiple outcome measures are used. DISCUSSION: The classicists believe that the chance of finding at least one test statistically significant due to chance and incorrectly declaring a difference increases as the number of comparisons increases. The rationalists have the following objections to that theory: 1) P-value adjustments are calculated based on how many tests are to be considered, and that number has been defined arbitrarily and variably; 2) P-value adjustments reduce the chance of making type I errors, but they increase the chance of making type II errors or needing to increase the sample size. SUMMARY: Readers should balance a study's statistical significance with the magnitude of effect, the quality of the study and with findings from other studies. Researchers facing multiple outcome measures might want to either select a primary outcome measure or use a global assessment measure, rather than adjusting the p-value.
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spelling pubmed-1171232002-07-12 Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment? Feise, Ronald J BMC Med Res Methodol Debate BACKGROUND: Readers may question the interpretation of findings in clinical trials when multiple outcome measures are used without adjustment of the p-value. This question arises because of the increased risk of Type I errors (findings of false "significance") when multiple simultaneous hypotheses are tested at set p-values. The primary aim of this study was to estimate the need to make appropriate p-value adjustments in clinical trials to compensate for a possible increased risk in committing Type I errors when multiple outcome measures are used. DISCUSSION: The classicists believe that the chance of finding at least one test statistically significant due to chance and incorrectly declaring a difference increases as the number of comparisons increases. The rationalists have the following objections to that theory: 1) P-value adjustments are calculated based on how many tests are to be considered, and that number has been defined arbitrarily and variably; 2) P-value adjustments reduce the chance of making type I errors, but they increase the chance of making type II errors or needing to increase the sample size. SUMMARY: Readers should balance a study's statistical significance with the magnitude of effect, the quality of the study and with findings from other studies. Researchers facing multiple outcome measures might want to either select a primary outcome measure or use a global assessment measure, rather than adjusting the p-value. BioMed Central 2002-06-17 /pmc/articles/PMC117123/ /pubmed/12069695 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2288-2-8 Text en Copyright © 2002 Feise; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article: verbatim copying and redistribution of this article are permitted in all media for any purpose, provided this notice is preserved along with the article's original URL.
spellingShingle Debate
Feise, Ronald J
Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?
title Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?
title_full Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?
title_fullStr Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?
title_full_unstemmed Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?
title_short Do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?
title_sort do multiple outcome measures require p-value adjustment?
topic Debate
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC117123/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12069695
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2288-2-8
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