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Limits to Forecasting Precision for Outbreaks of Directly Transmitted Diseases
BACKGROUND: Early warning systems for outbreaks of infectious diseases are an important application of the ecological theory of epidemics. A key variable predicted by early warning systems is the final outbreak size. However, for directly transmitted diseases, the stochastic contact process by which...
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| Formato: | Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2006
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1288026/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16435887 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0030003 |