Cargando…
Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007.
To monitor mortality rates from malignant melanoma we analysed all patients in Sweden (6,324) who died of malignant melanoma in 1953 through 1987. Age-standardised rates per 10(5) increased from 1.1 to 4.0 in men and from 1.0 to 2.6 in women. The average annual increase levelled off in men from 4.6%...
Autores principales: | , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group
1992
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1977942/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/1520595 |
_version_ | 1782135370338533376 |
---|---|
author | Thörn, M. Sparén, P. Bergström, R. Adami, H. O. |
author_facet | Thörn, M. Sparén, P. Bergström, R. Adami, H. O. |
author_sort | Thörn, M. |
collection | PubMed |
description | To monitor mortality rates from malignant melanoma we analysed all patients in Sweden (6,324) who died of malignant melanoma in 1953 through 1987. Age-standardised rates per 10(5) increased from 1.1 to 4.0 in men and from 1.0 to 2.6 in women. The average annual increase levelled off in men from 4.6% during 1953-1967 to 2.0% in 1978-1987; and in women from 3.7% to 0%. Multivariate analyses showed that the change in rates for men was mainly due to a birth-cohort effect, whereas in women the rates changed similarly in all age-groups in accordance with a time-period effect. The risk of dying of malignant melanoma increased in men for birth cohorts up to 1932, whereas in women the rise continued for cohorts born as late as 1947. The best-fitted multivariate models were extrapolated to the year 2007, among men a slight increase in mortality rates seemed likely, whereas among women the rates will probably remain unchanged. |
format | Text |
id | pubmed-1977942 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 1992 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-19779422009-09-10 Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. Thörn, M. Sparén, P. Bergström, R. Adami, H. O. Br J Cancer Research Article To monitor mortality rates from malignant melanoma we analysed all patients in Sweden (6,324) who died of malignant melanoma in 1953 through 1987. Age-standardised rates per 10(5) increased from 1.1 to 4.0 in men and from 1.0 to 2.6 in women. The average annual increase levelled off in men from 4.6% during 1953-1967 to 2.0% in 1978-1987; and in women from 3.7% to 0%. Multivariate analyses showed that the change in rates for men was mainly due to a birth-cohort effect, whereas in women the rates changed similarly in all age-groups in accordance with a time-period effect. The risk of dying of malignant melanoma increased in men for birth cohorts up to 1932, whereas in women the rise continued for cohorts born as late as 1947. The best-fitted multivariate models were extrapolated to the year 2007, among men a slight increase in mortality rates seemed likely, whereas among women the rates will probably remain unchanged. Nature Publishing Group 1992-09 /pmc/articles/PMC1977942/ /pubmed/1520595 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Thörn, M. Sparén, P. Bergström, R. Adami, H. O. Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. |
title | Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. |
title_full | Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. |
title_fullStr | Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. |
title_full_unstemmed | Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. |
title_short | Trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in Sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. |
title_sort | trends in mortality rates from malignant melanoma in sweden 1953-1987 and forecasts up to 2007. |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1977942/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/1520595 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT thornm trendsinmortalityratesfrommalignantmelanomainsweden19531987andforecastsupto2007 AT sparenp trendsinmortalityratesfrommalignantmelanomainsweden19531987andforecastsupto2007 AT bergstromr trendsinmortalityratesfrommalignantmelanomainsweden19531987andforecastsupto2007 AT adamiho trendsinmortalityratesfrommalignantmelanomainsweden19531987andforecastsupto2007 |