Prognostic values of proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) and Ki-67 for radiotherapy of oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas

The relationship of immunohistochemical indices of proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) and Ki-67 to local control and survival rates for patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas treated by definitive radiotherapy (RT) was investigated. Biopsy materials before RT were obtained from 65 patients with oesophageal cancer. The median PCNA labelling index (LI) and the median Ki-67 LI were 52% and 45% respectively. The PCNA LI was independent of known prognostic factors on local control for oesophageal cancer, although Ki-67 LI correlated with several prognostic factors. In the univariate analysis, patients with the PCNA LI of < 52% or the Ki-67 LI of < 45% showed significantly higher local recurrence rates than those with higher LIs (bothP < 0.05). This difference in local control rate according to LIs was prominent for the patients treated with conventional fractionation. In the multivariate analysis, T-stage (P = 0.0056) and PCNA LI (P = 0.0332) were significant factors for local control in the final model using a stepwise regression procedure. In conclusion, PCNA LI and Ki-67 LI were significantly correlated with local control probabilities in oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas treated by definitive RT. © 1999 Cancer Research Campaign