Relevance of proliferative and pro-apoptotic factors in non-small-cell lung cancer for patient survival

This investigation first set out to analyse which cellular proliferative and apoptotic factors, in addition to the clinical prognostic factors, are most predictive in patients with non-small-cell lung carcinomas (NSCLC). To this purpose, we related the proliferative factors proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA), cyclin A, cyclin D1, cyclin-dependent kinase 2 (cdk2), cdk4 and the proportion of cell cycle phases in NSCLC to the survival times of 150 patients. Additionally, we associated the expressions of Fas, Fas ligand and caspase-3 in NSCLC to patient survival. Immunohistochemistry was used to determine the proteins and flow cytometry to assess the proportion of cell cycle phases. Patients with PCNA-positive carcinomas had significantly shorter survival times than patients with PCNA-negative carcinomas (median survival times: 51 vs 89 weeks). Corresponding results were obtained with the factor cyclin A (64 vs 92 weeks), with the factor cdk2 (76 vs 89 weeks), with the factor cdk4 (62 vs 102 weeks) and with the proportion of S phases (86 vs 121 weeks). Patients with an expression of the apoptotic factors had a more favourable prognosis than patients with negative carcinomas. The median survival times of cancer patients with Fas expression was 86 weeks and of those without Fas expression only 69 weeks. Corresponding results were obtained with the Fas ligand (87 vs 41 weeks) and caspase 3 (87 vs 34 weeks). In order to determine whether a combination of factors can yield improved prognostic information, we investigated all possible combinations of the proliferative and apoptotic factors. Patients with tumours having a high proliferative activity, but which did not express apoptotic factors had the shortest survival times while patients with a low proliferative activity and a high expression of apoptotic factors had the most favourable outcome. A multivariate analysis (Cox model) of the cellular and clinical prognostic factors indicated that stage, lymph node involvement, Fas, PCNA and cyclin A are the most important prognostic factors for the clinical outcome of patients with non-small-cell lung carcinomas. © 2000 Cancer Research Campaign