Nested case–control study of the effects of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs on breast cancer risk and stage

We carried out a nested case–control study to measure the rate ratio (RR) for invasive female breast cancer in relation to non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use. The source population consisted of the female beneficiaries of the Saskatchewan Prescription Drug Plan from 1981 to 1995 with no history of cancer since 1970. Four controls/case, matched on age and sampling time, were randomly selected. Dispensing rates during successive time periods characterized NSAID exposure. RRs associated with exposure during each period were adjusted for exposure during the others. Confounding by other determinants was studied in analyses adjusted with data obtained by interviewing samples of subjects accrued from mid-1991 to mid-1995. We accrued 5882 cases and 23 517 controls. Increasing NSAID exposure 2–5 years preceding diagnosis was associated with a trend towards a decreasing RR (P -trend = 0.003); for the highest exposure level RR = 0.76, 95% confidence interval 0.63–0.92. This protective effect could not be attributed to confounding by other determinants. In analyses involving only the cases, NSAID exposure 2–5 and 6–10 years preceding diagnosis was associated with significantly reduced risks of presenting with a large tumour (> 5 cm diameter) or distant metastasis, but not regional lymph node metastasis. The use of NSAIDs may retard the growth of breast cancers and prevent distant metastasis. © 2000 Cancer Research Campaign