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Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands
BACKGROUND: To support the development of early warning and surveillance systems of emerging zoonoses, we present a general method to prioritize pathogens using a quantitative, stochastic multi-criteria model, parameterized for the Netherlands. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A risk score was based...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2010
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2981521/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21085625 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0013965 |
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author | Havelaar, Arie H. van Rosse, Floor Bucura, Catalin Toetenel, Milou A. Haagsma, Juanita A. Kurowicka, Dorota Heesterbeek, J. (Hans) A. P. Speybroeck, Niko Langelaar, Merel F. M. van der Giessen, Johanna W. B. Cooke, Roger M. Braks, Marieta A. H. |
author_facet | Havelaar, Arie H. van Rosse, Floor Bucura, Catalin Toetenel, Milou A. Haagsma, Juanita A. Kurowicka, Dorota Heesterbeek, J. (Hans) A. P. Speybroeck, Niko Langelaar, Merel F. M. van der Giessen, Johanna W. B. Cooke, Roger M. Braks, Marieta A. H. |
author_sort | Havelaar, Arie H. |
collection | PubMed |
description | BACKGROUND: To support the development of early warning and surveillance systems of emerging zoonoses, we present a general method to prioritize pathogens using a quantitative, stochastic multi-criteria model, parameterized for the Netherlands. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of the epidemiology and impact of these pathogens on society. Criteria were weighed, based on the preferences of a panel of judges with a background in infectious disease control. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Pathogens with the highest risk for the Netherlands included pathogens in the livestock reservoir with a high actual human disease burden (e.g. Campylobacter spp., Toxoplasma gondii, Coxiella burnetii) or a low current but higher historic burden (e.g. Mycobacterium bovis), rare zoonotic pathogens in domestic animals with severe disease manifestations in humans (e.g. BSE prion, Capnocytophaga canimorsus) as well as arthropod-borne and wildlife associated pathogens which may pose a severe risk in future (e.g. Japanese encephalitis virus and West-Nile virus). These agents are key targets for development of early warning and surveillance. |
format | Text |
id | pubmed-2981521 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2010 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-29815212010-11-17 Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands Havelaar, Arie H. van Rosse, Floor Bucura, Catalin Toetenel, Milou A. Haagsma, Juanita A. Kurowicka, Dorota Heesterbeek, J. (Hans) A. P. Speybroeck, Niko Langelaar, Merel F. M. van der Giessen, Johanna W. B. Cooke, Roger M. Braks, Marieta A. H. PLoS One Research Article BACKGROUND: To support the development of early warning and surveillance systems of emerging zoonoses, we present a general method to prioritize pathogens using a quantitative, stochastic multi-criteria model, parameterized for the Netherlands. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of the epidemiology and impact of these pathogens on society. Criteria were weighed, based on the preferences of a panel of judges with a background in infectious disease control. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Pathogens with the highest risk for the Netherlands included pathogens in the livestock reservoir with a high actual human disease burden (e.g. Campylobacter spp., Toxoplasma gondii, Coxiella burnetii) or a low current but higher historic burden (e.g. Mycobacterium bovis), rare zoonotic pathogens in domestic animals with severe disease manifestations in humans (e.g. BSE prion, Capnocytophaga canimorsus) as well as arthropod-borne and wildlife associated pathogens which may pose a severe risk in future (e.g. Japanese encephalitis virus and West-Nile virus). These agents are key targets for development of early warning and surveillance. Public Library of Science 2010-11-15 /pmc/articles/PMC2981521/ /pubmed/21085625 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0013965 Text en Havelaar et al. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Havelaar, Arie H. van Rosse, Floor Bucura, Catalin Toetenel, Milou A. Haagsma, Juanita A. Kurowicka, Dorota Heesterbeek, J. (Hans) A. P. Speybroeck, Niko Langelaar, Merel F. M. van der Giessen, Johanna W. B. Cooke, Roger M. Braks, Marieta A. H. Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands |
title | Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands |
title_full | Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands |
title_fullStr | Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands |
title_full_unstemmed | Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands |
title_short | Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands |
title_sort | prioritizing emerging zoonoses in the netherlands |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2981521/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21085625 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0013965 |
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