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Expert Status and Performance

Expert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience [1], [2]. The social expectation hypothesi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Burgman, Mark A., McBride, Marissa, Ashton, Raquel, Speirs-Bridge, Andrew, Flander, Louisa, Wintle, Bonnie, Fidler, Fiona, Rumpff, Libby, Twardy, Charles
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2011
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3146531/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21829574
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998
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author Burgman, Mark A.
McBride, Marissa
Ashton, Raquel
Speirs-Bridge, Andrew
Flander, Louisa
Wintle, Bonnie
Fidler, Fiona
Rumpff, Libby
Twardy, Charles
author_facet Burgman, Mark A.
McBride, Marissa
Ashton, Raquel
Speirs-Bridge, Andrew
Flander, Louisa
Wintle, Bonnie
Fidler, Fiona
Rumpff, Libby
Twardy, Charles
author_sort Burgman, Mark A.
collection PubMed
description Expert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience [1], [2]. The social expectation hypothesis argues that more highly regarded and more experienced experts will give better advice. We asked experts to predict how they will perform, and how their peers will perform, on sets of questions. The results indicate that the way experts regard each other is consistent, but unfortunately, ranks are a poor guide to actual performance. Expert advice will be more accurate if technical decisions routinely use broadly-defined expert groups, structured question protocols and feedback.
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spelling pubmed-31465312011-08-09 Expert Status and Performance Burgman, Mark A. McBride, Marissa Ashton, Raquel Speirs-Bridge, Andrew Flander, Louisa Wintle, Bonnie Fidler, Fiona Rumpff, Libby Twardy, Charles PLoS One Research Article Expert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience [1], [2]. The social expectation hypothesis argues that more highly regarded and more experienced experts will give better advice. We asked experts to predict how they will perform, and how their peers will perform, on sets of questions. The results indicate that the way experts regard each other is consistent, but unfortunately, ranks are a poor guide to actual performance. Expert advice will be more accurate if technical decisions routinely use broadly-defined expert groups, structured question protocols and feedback. Public Library of Science 2011-07-29 /pmc/articles/PMC3146531/ /pubmed/21829574 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998 Text en Burgman et al. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Burgman, Mark A.
McBride, Marissa
Ashton, Raquel
Speirs-Bridge, Andrew
Flander, Louisa
Wintle, Bonnie
Fidler, Fiona
Rumpff, Libby
Twardy, Charles
Expert Status and Performance
title Expert Status and Performance
title_full Expert Status and Performance
title_fullStr Expert Status and Performance
title_full_unstemmed Expert Status and Performance
title_short Expert Status and Performance
title_sort expert status and performance
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3146531/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21829574
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998
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